—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop
Published results from Ifop for fieldwork conducted from 27 October 2026 to 29 October 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop
FIELDWORK
27–29 October 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,501
SCENARIOS
4
CANDIDATES TESTED
12
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS0.5 %–1 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS17.5 %–18 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1.5 %–2 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–3.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS10 %–13 % · Δ 3 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS9.5 %–15 % · Δ 5.5 pts
David Lisnard · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS7 %–9 % · Δ 2 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1.5 %–2 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS35 %–37 % · Δ 2 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS4 %–4.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS5 %–9 % · Δ 4 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS4 %–7 % · Δ 3 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
4 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, David Lisnard, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, David Lisnard, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 15 % |
| David Lisnard | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 9083dcdd0d76d8e10b83a477778e745367d201a931743f369ae306615920dc06PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 18 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 9.5 % |
| David Lisnard | 7 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 4 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 1.5 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4.5 % |
EVENT ID: bba0d6838e2738399cc81b9a96c645c8f296a16622e4cb6fa71080d02927a950PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 9 % |
| David Lisnard | 7.5 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4.5 % |
EVENT ID: 0fd1eb2379e5ba0140bff6102399f7b7ba9741c5cf89150d6a56509e854b6f1aPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 1.5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3.5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11.5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 37 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 9169ec2c8bb59068751e1cc3b06f5a3a08d1c8b499accea3652fd4017aab16e6PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗