FRANCE 2027 SIGNAL LABSource-linked signals from the French presidential race.
—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
Illustrated portrait of Bernard Cazeneuve
CANDIDATE DOSSIER

Bernard Cazeneuve

Descriptive summary of data published by France 2027 Signal Lab. No average · no forecast · no voting advice.
DECLARED CANDIDACYStatus verified as of 6 Aug 2026
POLLING DATA
NOT OBSERVED
no observation in the latest wave
MEDIA PULSE
0.4%
share of election + campaign coverage, not a measure of support
ARTICLES
1
articles · 1 active day
PUBLISHERS
1
in the current 7-day window

NEWS

Latest source-linked articles, events and changes.

EVENTS

2 upcoming · 3 recent
DEBATE

Table ronde avec Manuel Valls et Bernard Cazeneuve — Peut-on gouverner la France dans le calme ?

Palais des Congrès · Saint-Raphaël

Les Rencontres de l’Avenir ↗
OTHER

3e Rendez-vous des Démocrates et Progressistes

Espace République Valmy · Paris

Presse Agence ↗

WHAT CHANGED

0 items

POLLS

Published scores by hypothesis. No average, smoothing or interpolation.

LATEST WAVE

Not observed in the latest waveNo score is published for this candidacy in the latest reference wave. Published historical observations remain available when they exist.

FIRST-ROUND POLL HISTORY

Each mark represents a first-round poll observation grouped by pollster, fieldwork dates and sample size. A point shows the exact selected-hypothesis score when available. A vertical bar shows the published range across hypotheses. Horizontal position follows the fieldwork end date. No average, smoothing or interpolation.
2 observations

From 6 Apr 2023 to 4 Sep 2023. Enable JavaScript for the interactive visualization.

Published poll waves · 2
  1. Harris Interactive · 1–4 Sep 2023
  2. Harris Interactive · 6–7 Apr 2023

TESTED RUNOFFS

For each runoff, France 2027 Signal Lab shows at most the three most recent observations, ordered by fieldwork end date. Older observations remain in the source corpus. No average or interpolation is calculated.
0 opponents · 0 observations shown
No runoff observedNo runoff configuration associated with this candidacy is published in the monitored corpus.

MEDIA PULSE & COVERAGE

Visibility in monitored coverage: volume, publishers, composition and concentration.

MEDIA PULSE

Media Pulse measures the share of articles associated with Bernard Cazeneuve in the election and campaign scopes. It does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
last 7 published days
0.4%SHARE OF ELECTION + CAMPAIGN COVERAGE

Share of articles associated with Bernard Cazeneuve in the election and campaign scopes.

1articles
1publishers
1story clusters
1active days

RECENT COVERAGE TREND

Daily share of election + campaign articles associated with Bernard Cazeneuve. The series covers 29 complete UTC days and does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
29 complete days · UTC

Published history from 25 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026.

COVERAGE STRUCTURE

SCOPE

ELECTION100.0%
1 article
CAMPAIGN0.0%
0 articles

MENTION PLACEMENT

In headline1
Summary only0

TOP PUBLISHER

Le Canard enchaîné

TOP PUBLISHERS

1 publisher
  1. Le Canard enchaîné1 article · 100.0%

TOP STORY CLUSTERS

1 cluster
Présidentielle 2027 : Bernard Cazeneuve, messie ou mais non1 article · 1 publisher

AGENDA & ISSUES

Topics associated with this candidacy in monitored coverage. They describe the composition of media coverage, not the monitored person's priorities or positions.

TOPIC PROFILE · 30D

0 associations · 30 days
No thematic activity observedNo thematic association is observed for this candidacy in the current window.

TOPIC PROFILE · SINCE START

6 associations · 86 days · 2026-07-31 → 2026-10-24
  • PRIMARIES & PARTY STRATEGY66.7%
    PRIMARIES & PARTY STRATEGYProfile share: 66.7%Associations: 4Period: since tracking began
  • POLLING & RACE NARRATIVES33.3%
    POLLING & RACE NARRATIVESProfile share: 33.3%Associations: 2Period: since tracking began
  • LEGAL ELIGIBILITY0.0%
    LEGAL ELIGIBILITYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • CANDIDACIES & ENDORSEMENTS0.0%
    CANDIDACIES & ENDORSEMENTSProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • RULES & CALENDAR0.0%
    RULES & CALENDARProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • POSITIONING & INTEGRITY0.0%
    POSITIONING & INTEGRITYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began

TOPIC EVOLUTION

Daily counts of topic associations, with no average, smoothing or interpolation.
2 main topics

Daily series from 31 Jul 2026 to 24 Oct 2026.

SCRUTINY

Published reviews and the source confirming candidacy status.

CLAIMS UNDER SCRUTINY

0 reviews
BY — claim recorded as attributed to this candidacyABOUT — this candidacy is mentioned; the claim is attributed to another person
No associated reviewNo published review is associated with this candidacy in the monitored corpus.

The number of published reviews does not measure a political figure's overall accuracy.

CANDIDACY STATUS

DECLARED CANDIDACY
Status confirmed

Élection présidentielle française de 2027

This source documents the candidacy status recorded by France 2027 Signal Lab.

Source
French Wikipedia
Source date
6 Aug 2026
Status verified as of
6 Aug 2026
Open source ↗

PUBLIC ATTENTION

Pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. This signal does not measure support.

WIKIPEDIA PAGEVIEWS

Wikipedia pageviews measure visits to the article. They do not measure support, sentiment, approval or voting intention.
pageviews
13,643last 7 days
24,957last 28 days
7,9937-day peak
7,993period peak
Open Wikipedia article ↗

PAGEVIEW HISTORY

Daily pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. Repeat visits may be included.
90 days

PUBLIC SIGNALS

These indicators come from independent sources and do not measure the same thing. They are neither a popularity score nor voting intention.

Polymarket

Election winner, including any runoff. Prediction market — not voting intention and not an FR27 forecast. Third-party value, not calculated by FR27. Participants are not a representative sample of French voters. Liquidity and trading conditions may influence prices. FR27 does not combine this signal with polling, Wikipedia, media, agenda or other evidence into a synthetic score. Absence does not mean 0%. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in percentage points. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Vertical scale spans at least 5 percentage points. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Prediction market

0.1%

Implied probability

Polymarket ↗

YouTube

Reviewed personal/campaign channel established from first-party sources and pinned to a stable channel ID. Official-channel subscribers, not electoral support. YouTube rounds subscriber counts down to three significant figures. Uploads use video publication times within the seven days before observation, including both boundaries, only when the full playlist is verified. Incomplete activity does not provide an exact count. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Subscriber-count change inherits YouTube’s rounding. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Channel audience

Official channel not established

Bluesky

Reviewed personal/campaign account established from first-party sources. The DID is the persistent identity; the handle may change. Official-account followers on Bluesky, not voters or a measure of support. Public-web visibility opt-outs are respected. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in Bluesky follower count. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Account audience

Official account not established

EVENTS

Published campaign events associated with this candidacy.

UPCOMING EVENTS

as of 24 Oct 2026
DEBATE

Table ronde avec Manuel Valls et Bernard Cazeneuve — Peut-on gouverner la France dans le calme ?

Palais des Congrès · Saint-Raphaël

Les Rencontres de l’Avenir ↗

RECENT EVENTS

recent history
OTHER

3e Rendez-vous des Démocrates et Progressistes

Espace République Valmy · Paris

Presse Agence ↗
OTHER

Discours de Bernard Cazeneuve à l’Université d’été du Laboratoire de la République

Sens

Le Monde ↗