FRANCE 2027 SIGNAL LABSource-linked signals from the French presidential race.
—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
Illustrated portrait of Édouard Philippe
CANDIDATE DOSSIER

Édouard Philippe

Descriptive summary of data published by France 2027 Signal Lab. No average · no forecast · no voting advice.
DECLARED CANDIDACYStatus verified as of 30 Jul 2026
POLLING DATA
13–15% · 3 hypotheses
Ipsos · fieldwork from 21 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026
MEDIA PULSE
16.7%
share of election + campaign coverage, not a measure of support
ARTICLES
41
articles · 6 active days
PUBLISHERS
15
in the current 7-day window

NEWS

Latest source-linked articles, events and changes.

LATEST NEWS

5 articles

EVENTS

2 upcoming · 3 recent
DEBATE

Débat présidentiel 5 — Édouard Philippe : Quelles raisons de croire en l’avenir de la France ?

Palais des Congrès · Saint-Raphaël

Les Rencontres de l’Avenir ↗
DEBATE

Grand Oral tourisme – Présidentielle 2027

Salon Berlioz — InterContinental Paris Le Grand · Paris

ADN Tourisme ↗
RÉUNION PUBLIQUE

Deuxième grande réunion d’appartement d’Édouard Philippe consacrée à l’école et à l’éducation

Location not published

Avec Édouard 2027 ↗
OTHER

Interventions de Gabriel Attal et Édouard Philippe au Congrès du Parti radical à Dijon

Parc des Expositions et Congrès · Dijon

Infos Dijon ↗
DEBATE

Débat politique aux Universités d’Automne de la Licra

Pasino du Havre · Le Havre

Licra ↗

WHAT CHANGED

3 items
CAMPAIGN

Talence. « C’est l’homme qu’il nous faut aujourd’hui » : Philippe de la Bigne lance le comité local de soutien à Édouard Philippe

Sud Ouest ↗
CAMPAIGN

À Montaigu-Vendée, un comité Horizons pour soutenir la candidature d’Edouard Philippe à l’élection présidentielle 2027

Ouest-France ↗

POLLS

Published scores by hypothesis. No average, smoothing or interpolation.

LATEST WAVE

13–15%3 hypotheses

Range of published scores for Édouard Philippe across the hypotheses tested in the latest wave. France 2027 Signal Lab does not calculate an average.

Pollster
Ipsos
Sample
1,500
Fieldwork
21 Oct 2026 — 22 Oct 2026
View poll source ↗

FIRST-ROUND POLL HISTORY

Each mark represents a first-round poll observation grouped by pollster, fieldwork dates and sample size. A point shows the exact selected-hypothesis score when available. A vertical bar shows the published range across hypotheses. Horizontal position follows the fieldwork end date. No average, smoothing or interpolation.
66 observations

From 30 Mar 2023 to 22 Oct 2026. Enable JavaScript for the interactive visualization.

Published poll waves · 66
  1. Ipsos · 21–22 Oct 2026
  2. Harris · 19–21 Oct 2026
  3. Ifop · 17–19 Oct 2026
  4. Elabe · 14–16 Oct 2026
  5. Elabe · 14–16 Oct 2026
  6. Cluster17 · 14–15 Oct 2026
  7. YouGov · 12–15 Oct 2026
  8. OpinionWay · 13–14 Oct 2026
  9. Ifop · 12–14 Oct 2026
  10. Harris · 5–8 Oct 2026
  11. Odoxa · 24 Sep–7 Oct 2026
  12. Ifop · 25–29 Sep 2026
  13. Harris · 22–24 Sep 2026
  14. YouGov · 17–21 Sep 2026
  15. Cluster17 · 15–16 Sep 2026
  16. Ifop · 9–11 Sep 2026
  17. OpinionWay · 9–10 Sep 2026
  18. Harris · 8–10 Sep 2026
  19. OpinionWay · 8–9 Sep 2026
  20. Ipsos · 3–9 Sep 2026
  21. OpinionWay · 2–3 Sep 2026
  22. Ipsos · 31 Aug–2 Sep 2026
  23. Cluster17 · 31 Aug–1 Sep 2026
  24. Elabe · 26–28 Aug 2026
  25. Ifop · 24–25 Aug 2026
  26. Harris Interactive · 18–19 Aug 2026
  27. Cluster17 · 22–24 Jul 2026
  28. Elabe · 9–10 Jul 2026
  29. Verian · 8–10 Jul 2026
  30. OpinionWay · 8–9 Jul 2026
  31. Ifop · 7–8 Jul 2026
  32. Harris Interactive · 7–8 Jul 2026
  33. Harris Interactive · 7–8 Jul 2026
  34. Ifop · 22–24 Jun 2026
  35. OpinionWay · 10–11 Jun 2026
  36. Ipsos · 27–28 May 2026
  37. Ifop · 26–28 May 2026
  38. Harris Interactive · 25–27 May 2026
  39. Harris Interactive · 28–30 Apr 2026
  40. Harris Interactive · 22 Apr 2026
  41. Elabe · 25–27 Mar 2026
  42. Ifop · 26–27 Feb 2026
  43. Elabe · 30–31 Oct 2025
  44. Harris Interactive · 7 Oct 2025
  45. Cluster17 · 30 Sep–1 Oct 2025
  46. Ifop · 24–25 Sep 2025
  47. Ifop · 19–20 May 2025
  48. Harris Interactive · 19 May 2025
  49. Ifop · 29–30 Apr 2025
  50. Odoxa · 23–24 Apr 2025
  51. Ifop/Hexagone · 11–18 Apr 2025
  52. Elabe · 2–4 Apr 2025
  53. Ifop · 26–27 Mar 2025
  54. Ifop · 6–9 Dec 2024
  55. OpinionWay · 11–12 Sep 2024
  56. Ifop · 6–9 Sep 2024
  57. Harris Interactive · 7–8 Jul 2024
  58. Ifop · 16–18 Apr 2024
  59. Cluster17 · 2–5 Apr 2024
  60. Ifop · 31 Jan–1 Feb 2024
  61. Ifop · 9–10 Jan 2024
  62. Ifop · 24–25 Oct 2023
  63. Harris Interactive · 1–4 Sep 2023
  64. OpinionWay · 12–13 Apr 2023
  65. Harris Interactive · 6–7 Apr 2023
  66. Ifop · 30–31 Mar 2023

TESTED RUNOFFS

For each runoff, France 2027 Signal Lab shows at most the three most recent observations, ordered by fieldwork end date. Older observations remain in the source corpus. No average or interpolation is calculated.
2 opponents · 5 observations shown

Marine Le Pen

27 tests total · 3 most recent shown
OpinionWay21 Oct 2026 — 22 Oct 2026
Sample: 973
44%56%
Source ↗
Harris19 Oct 2026 — 21 Oct 2026
Sample: 2,094
43%57%
Source ↗
Ifop17 Oct 2026 — 19 Oct 2026
Sample: 1,928
44%56%
Source ↗

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

2 tests total
YouGov12 Oct 2026 — 15 Oct 2026
Sample: 1,094
66%34%
Source ↗
YouGov17 Sep 2026 — 21 Sep 2026
Sample: 1,103
61%39%
Source ↗

MEDIA PULSE & COVERAGE

Visibility in monitored coverage: volume, publishers, composition and concentration.

MEDIA PULSE

Media Pulse measures the share of articles associated with Édouard Philippe in the election and campaign scopes. It does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
last 7 published days
16.7%SHARE OF ELECTION + CAMPAIGN COVERAGE

Share of articles associated with Édouard Philippe in the election and campaign scopes.

41articles
15publishers
39story clusters
6active days

RECENT COVERAGE TREND

Daily share of election + campaign articles associated with Édouard Philippe. The series covers 29 complete UTC days and does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
29 complete days · UTC

Published history from 25 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026.

COVERAGE STRUCTURE

SCOPE

ELECTION95.1%
39 articles
CAMPAIGN4.9%
2 articles

MENTION PLACEMENT

In headline39
Summary only2

TOP PUBLISHER

BFMTV — Politique

TOP PUBLISHERS

10 publishers
  1. BFMTV — Politique19 articles · 46.3%
  2. L'Ardennais4 articles · 9.8%
  3. La Dépêche du Midi3 articles · 7.3%
  4. actu.fr2 articles · 4.9%
  5. Franceinfo Politique2 articles · 4.9%
  6. Les Echos2 articles · 4.9%
  7. Contexte1 article · 2.4%
  8. La Provence1 article · 2.4%
  9. Le Figaro1 article · 2.4%
  10. Le Monde1 article · 2.4%

TOP STORY CLUSTERS

8 clusters
Présidentielle 2027 : Édouard Philippe, Raphaël Glucksmann et Jean-Luc Mélenchon au coude à coude dans un nouveau sondage3 articles · 3 publishers
"Dans notre utilisation de la force face aux pilleurs, nous pouvons aller plus loin", affirme Édouard Philippe, candidat Horizons à la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
"Je lui dis bon courage": les mots d'Édouard Philippe, candidat Horizons à la présidentielle, à l'adresse de Raphaël Glucksmann, vainqueur de la primaire sociale-démocrate1 article · 1 publisher
"Je serais favorable à une commission d'enquête sur le 17 octobre", déclare Édouard Philippe, candidat Horizons à la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
"On ne fera rien de grand dans cette nation si les Français ne s'aiment pas", assure Édouard Philippe, candidat Horizons à la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
"Quand on veut s'adresser à la jeunesse, on ne peut pas le faire seulement avec l'arsenal répressif", juge Édouard Philippe, candidat Horizons à la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
17 octobre: "Je n'utilise pas le terme de violences policières (...), souvent utilisé par l'extrême gauche", explique Édouard Philippe, candidat à l'élection présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
17-octobre: "Ce que pense [Donald Trump] de nous m'importe assez peu", déclare Édouard Philippe, candidat Horizons à la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher

LATEST COVERAGE

12 articles

AGENDA & ISSUES

Topics associated with this candidacy in monitored coverage. They describe the composition of media coverage, not the monitored person's priorities or positions.

TOPIC PROFILE · 30D

37 associations · 30 days
  • Work, purchasing power and pensions62.2%
    Work, purchasing power and pensionsProfile share: 62.2%Associations: 23Period: last 30 days
  • Economy and public finances13.5%
    Economy and public financesProfile share: 13.5%Associations: 5Period: last 30 days
  • Immigration, identity and secularism5.4%
    Immigration, identity and secularismProfile share: 5.4%Associations: 2Period: last 30 days
  • Security and justice5.4%
    Security and justiceProfile share: 5.4%Associations: 2Period: last 30 days
  • Europe, defence and foreign affairs5.4%
    Europe, defence and foreign affairsProfile share: 5.4%Associations: 2Period: last 30 days
  • Health, education and public services2.7%
    Health, education and public servicesProfile share: 2.7%Associations: 1Period: last 30 days
  • Climate, energy and agriculture2.7%
    Climate, energy and agricultureProfile share: 2.7%Associations: 1Period: last 30 days
  • Institutions, democracy and territories2.7%
    Institutions, democracy and territoriesProfile share: 2.7%Associations: 1Period: last 30 days

TOPIC PROFILE · SINCE START

158 associations · 86 days · 2026-07-31 → 2026-10-24
  • Work, purchasing power and pensions34.8%
    Work, purchasing power and pensionsProfile share: 34.8%Associations: 55Period: since tracking began
  • Immigration, identity and secularism29.7%
    Immigration, identity and secularismProfile share: 29.7%Associations: 47Period: since tracking began
  • Economy and public finances8.9%
    Economy and public financesProfile share: 8.9%Associations: 14Period: since tracking began
  • Security and justice8.2%
    Security and justiceProfile share: 8.2%Associations: 13Period: since tracking began
  • Europe, defence and foreign affairs7.0%
    Europe, defence and foreign affairsProfile share: 7.0%Associations: 11Period: since tracking began
  • Health, education and public services5.7%
    Health, education and public servicesProfile share: 5.7%Associations: 9Period: since tracking began
  • Climate, energy and agriculture3.8%
    Climate, energy and agricultureProfile share: 3.8%Associations: 6Period: since tracking began
  • Institutions, democracy and territories1.9%
    Institutions, democracy and territoriesProfile share: 1.9%Associations: 3Period: since tracking began

TOPIC EVOLUTION

Daily counts of topic associations, with no average, smoothing or interpolation.
4 main topics

Daily series from 31 Jul 2026 to 24 Oct 2026.

SCRUTINY

Published reviews and the source confirming candidacy status.

CLAIMS UNDER SCRUTINY

0 reviews
BY — claim recorded as attributed to this candidacyABOUT — this candidacy is mentioned; the claim is attributed to another person
No associated reviewNo published review is associated with this candidacy in the monitored corpus.

The number of published reviews does not measure a political figure's overall accuracy.

CANDIDACY STATUS

DECLARED CANDIDACY
Status confirmed

Ex-PM and Macron ally Edouard Philippe eyes French presidency

This source documents the candidacy status recorded by France 2027 Signal Lab.

Source
Reuters
Source date
3 Sep 2024
Status verified as of
30 Jul 2026
Open source ↗

PUBLIC ATTENTION

Pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. This signal does not measure support.

WIKIPEDIA PAGEVIEWS

Wikipedia pageviews measure visits to the article. They do not measure support, sentiment, approval or voting intention.
pageviews
23,471last 7 days
123,035last 28 days
5,8537-day peak
27,971period peak
Open Wikipedia article ↗

PAGEVIEW HISTORY

Daily pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. Repeat visits may be included.
90 days

PUBLIC SIGNALS

These indicators come from independent sources and do not measure the same thing. They are neither a popularity score nor voting intention.

Polymarket

Election winner, including any runoff. Prediction market — not voting intention and not an FR27 forecast. Third-party value, not calculated by FR27. Participants are not a representative sample of French voters. Liquidity and trading conditions may influence prices. FR27 does not combine this signal with polling, Wikipedia, media, agenda or other evidence into a synthetic score. Absence does not mean 0%. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in percentage points. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Vertical scale spans at least 5 percentage points. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Prediction market

16.5%

Implied probability

Polymarket ↗

YouTube

Reviewed personal/campaign channel established from first-party sources and pinned to a stable channel ID. Official-channel subscribers, not electoral support. YouTube rounds subscriber counts down to three significant figures. Uploads use video publication times within the seven days before observation, including both boundaries, only when the full playlist is verified. Incomplete activity does not provide an exact count. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Subscriber-count change inherits YouTube’s rounding. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Channel audience

Official channel not established

Bluesky

Reviewed personal/campaign account established from first-party sources. The DID is the persistent identity; the handle may change. Official-account followers on Bluesky, not voters or a measure of support. Public-web visibility opt-outs are respected. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in Bluesky follower count. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Account audience

Official account not established

EVENTS

Published campaign events associated with this candidacy.

UPCOMING EVENTS

as of 24 Oct 2026
DEBATE

Débat présidentiel 5 — Édouard Philippe : Quelles raisons de croire en l’avenir de la France ?

Palais des Congrès · Saint-Raphaël

Les Rencontres de l’Avenir ↗
DEBATE

Grand Oral tourisme – Présidentielle 2027

Salon Berlioz — InterContinental Paris Le Grand · Paris

ADN Tourisme ↗

RECENT EVENTS

recent history
RÉUNION PUBLIQUE

Deuxième grande réunion d’appartement d’Édouard Philippe consacrée à l’école et à l’éducation

Location not published

Avec Édouard 2027 ↗
OTHER

Interventions de Gabriel Attal et Édouard Philippe au Congrès du Parti radical à Dijon

Parc des Expositions et Congrès · Dijon

Infos Dijon ↗
DEBATE

Débat politique aux Universités d’Automne de la Licra

Pasino du Havre · Le Havre

Licra ↗
VISIT

Édouard Philippe au Sommet de l’élevage

Grande Halle d’Auvergne · Cournon-d’Auvergne

Radio RVA ↗
OTHER

Édouard Philippe invité de « L’Heure de vérité » sur France 2

France 2 / france.tv

Le Monde ↗
DEBATE

Édouard Philippe dans « Conversation française » sur LCP

LCP / La Tribune Dimanche

LCP ↗
OTHER

Édouard Philippe invité de « En toute franchise » dans Bonjour ! sur TF1

TF1 / Bonjour !

Coulisses TV ↗
OTHER

Réunion de crise à l’Élysée sur la situation internationale, la sécurité et l’énergie

Palais de l’Élysée · Paris

AFP ↗