—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Harris Interactive
Published results from Harris Interactive for fieldwork conducted from 7 October 2025 to 7 October 2025. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Harris Interactive
FIELDWORK
7 October 2025
SAMPLE
n=1,124
SCENARIOS
4
CANDIDATES TESTED
12
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS14 %–14 % · Δ 0 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS12 %–14 % · Δ 2 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS12 %–12 % · Δ 0 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS10 %–11 % · Δ 1 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS34 %–34 % · Δ 0 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS6 %–6 % · Δ 0 pts
Bardella · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS35 %–35 % · Δ 0 pts
Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS15 %–16 % · Δ 1 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
4 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 14 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 12 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 11 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: a449941883aa054d48b9dec7c20a4569fb86fdb0936107798525e164e7a3cb00PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 14 % |
| Tondelier | 3 % |
| Attal | 12 % |
| Retailleau | 11 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 1 % |
| Bardella | 35 % |
| Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: f236d6573d651ba2689f13938abf556f08fa39a6149f360f4c0866ebfe379442PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12 % |
| Tondelier | 3 % |
| Philippe | 15 % |
| Retailleau | 10 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 1 % |
| Bardella | 35 % |
| Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: 8ffd0c9533ec239c046e7446107318ea1d1e7ed30890f0f3fae3cc7f7df7484aPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 16 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 10 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 1 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: 2313cc9c19aed35a4b670de8d9ca94e17fc1af167d27649f6300830c85ee2aa0PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗