—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Verian
Published results from Verian for fieldwork conducted from 18 November 2025 to 20 November 2025. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Verian
FIELDWORK
18–20 November 2025
SAMPLE
n=938
SCENARIOS
5
CANDIDATES TESTED
13
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Roussel · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Mélenchon · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS11 %–12 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS11.5 %–13 % · Δ 1.5 pts
Tondelier · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS5 %–5.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Philippe · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS16.5 %–17 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Retailleau · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS7.5 %–7.5 % · Δ 0 pts
Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Bardella · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS35.5 %–36.5 % · Δ 1 pts
Zemmour · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS4 %–4 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
5 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour, Sébastien
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour, Sébastien
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 11 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13 % |
| Tondelier | 5 % |
| Philippe | 17 % |
| Retailleau | 7.5 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 35.5 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
| Sébastien | 2 % |
EVENT ID: 31c7c3509b8206e77675a5c10e36d62a5eea3992ad8da3033fdbf584bc29e22fPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour, Leclerc
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour, Leclerc
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12.5 % |
| Tondelier | 5 % |
| Philippe | 16.5 % |
| Retailleau | 7.5 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 35.5 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
| Leclerc | 2 % |
EVENT ID: 3fa2178698f284f0ff6f3b1a1f605b6a647a654678b8603c6785c3f2197f3587PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Hanouna, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Hanouna, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13 % |
| Tondelier | 5 % |
| Philippe | 17 % |
| Retailleau | 7.5 % |
| Hanouna | 1 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 35.5 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 6afc3857118a89f50cdf4906274c50bf55d599d49636bd4ac845edb4d62c58ebPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour, Riner
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour, Riner
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 11.5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11.5 % |
| Tondelier | 5 % |
| Philippe | 17 % |
| Retailleau | 7.5 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 35.5 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
| Riner | 3 % |
EVENT ID: b2677a2339fd974a7d22458bcd87d7480edbde90f31c6785d323bbc3992aab23PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13 % |
| Tondelier | 5.5 % |
| Philippe | 17 % |
| Retailleau | 7.5 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 36.5 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 70a19e1308c561db1c4dd9afe413d394df98a120c814f24912479d8a82dc3c94PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100.5 %SOURCE ↗