—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Odoxa
Published results from Odoxa for fieldwork conducted from 19 November 2025 to 20 November 2025. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Odoxa
FIELDWORK
19–20 November 2025
SAMPLE
n=1,300
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
11
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS11 %–12 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS13.5 %–14.5 % · Δ 1 pts
Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS6 %–6.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Retailleau · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS8 %–10 % · Δ 2 pts
Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Bardella · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS35 %–36 % · Δ 1 pts
Zemmour · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–3.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 14.5 % |
| Tondelier | 6.5 % |
| Attal | 11 % |
| Retailleau | 10 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Bardella | 36 % |
| Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 81060a04d8c39e6642ffa9317402ebf0d552a59abc0c66bbab38ebda5ef25b67PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 11 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13.5 % |
| Tondelier | 6 % |
| Philippe | 17 % |
| Retailleau | 8 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 35 % |
| Zemmour | 3.5 % |
EVENT ID: 6b3bb0a20baa369b8614b4301eab1637aaaca91e55b0fdb9144aafae1c5961d1PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗