—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop
Published results from Ifop for fieldwork conducted from 9 January 2024 to 10 January 2024. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop
FIELDWORK
9–10 January 2024
SAMPLE
n=1,144
SCENARIOS
4
CANDIDATES TESTED
14
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS0.5 %–1 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Philippe Poutou · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1.5 %–2 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS5 %–6.5 % · Δ 1.5 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS13 %–15 % · Δ 2 pts
Olivier Faure · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS25 %–26 % · Δ 1 pts
Jean Lassalle · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS2.5 %–2.5 % · Δ 0 pts
Laurent Wauquiez · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS5 %–6 % · Δ 1 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Jordan Bardella · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS27 %–28 % · Δ 1 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS6.5 %–9 % · Δ 2.5 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS23 %–24 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS32 %–33 % · Δ 1 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
4 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 6 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Olivier Faure | 3.5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 1.5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 26 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 2.5 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2.5 % |
| Jordan Bardella | 27 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 8 % |
EVENT ID: d12499a93931ab07af108b51a8eca5590acf69cdc19561720abc3bd7256bbc42PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 2 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14.5 % |
| Olivier Faure | 4 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 1 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 24 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 2.5 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Jordan Bardella | 28 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 9 % |
EVENT ID: 56701347623f6a8e4ccd78b3fce8515904a75391e5fdb51fbb1053baa016918aPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 2 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 6.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Olivier Faure | 3.5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 1.5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 23 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 2.5 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6.5 % |
EVENT ID: 00094dffb07986cec239fec9dcda77499f305be0f8f80e242bf75b42b9cf6062PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 6 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Olivier Faure | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 25 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 2.5 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 33 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6.5 % |
EVENT ID: 07a15387809af7f56f1c961cc1cb26de83eeba34340a459d59c79657820babc4PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗