—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop
Published results from Ifop for fieldwork conducted from 24 October 2023 to 25 October 2023. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop
FIELDWORK
24–25 October 2023
SAMPLE
n=1,179
SCENARIOS
5
CANDIDATES TESTED
16
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–1.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Philippe Poutou · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS6 %–7.5 % · Δ 1.5 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS14 %–15 % · Δ 1 pts
Olivier Faure · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS4 %–6 % · Δ 2 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Jean Lassalle · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2.5 %–4 % · Δ 1.5 pts
Laurent Wauquiez · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS5 %–6 % · Δ 1 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS31 %–33 % · Δ 2 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS6 %–7 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS25 %–26 % · Δ 1 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
5 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gérald Darmanin, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gérald Darmanin, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1.5 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 6 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Olivier Faure | 6 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Gérald Darmanin | 16 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 3.5 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2.5 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 33 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 7 % |
EVENT ID: 4b55b1f595a7ef7bfe6be63f9b9d8ee3c6868d7db8d52b5deea81eca6d44cc8dPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 6 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Olivier Faure | 5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 19 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 4 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 33 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: 7565383d27ced45441f1e01d996fac8c8b8f0916735f8de94138bf044b556769PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, François Ruffin, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, François Ruffin, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1.5 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 2 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 7.5 % |
| François Ruffin | 7 % |
| Olivier Faure | 4 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 26 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 2.5 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6.5 % |
EVENT ID: 64a1c05dfc5b3544366511ef718bb7ad0536648c99ff395bf3860f883ef8d80bPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 2 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 6 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Olivier Faure | 4 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 1 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 25 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 2.5 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 31 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6.5 % |
EVENT ID: 03dc3adba85fd9435bb75c0fa82ea7a696012efa71c6c3e0ac7c81de2989e8d4PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Bruno Le Maire, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Bruno Le Maire, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1.5 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 7 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Olivier Faure | 5.5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Bruno Le Maire | 18 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 3 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2.5 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6.5 % |
EVENT ID: d042e87e71ccb0fa9fcb773459f28216dd052d51d9167a27d9c0e4fedd9d1c29PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗