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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Cluster17
Published results from Cluster17 for fieldwork conducted from 2 April 2024 to 5 April 2024. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Cluster17
FIELDWORK
2–5 April 2024
SAMPLE
n=1,686
SCENARIOS
3
CANDIDATES TESTED
8
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Philippe Poutou · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS25 %–31 % · Δ 6 pts
Laurent Wauquiez · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS4.5 %–5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS30 %–32 % · Δ 2 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS6.5 %–7 % · Δ 0.5 pts
François Ruffin · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS29 %–29 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
3 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Philippe Poutou, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Philippe Poutou, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Philippe Poutou | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 18 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 31 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 4 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 7 % |
EVENT ID: df6739e27de88e433baa308a431cc02dcdaf6fbbe36384213553265b2a1737f7PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Philippe Poutou, François Ruffin, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Philippe Poutou, François Ruffin, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Philippe Poutou | 2 % |
| François Ruffin | 29 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 25 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 4.5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 31 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6.5 % |
EVENT ID: 3266e339c00ccb932b201b48e697d0cf76565dfb519733f8ddd9b3adf3e5bcb8PUBLISHED TOTAL: 101 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Édouard Philippe, Éric Zemmour, François Ruffin, Laurent Wauquiez, Marine Le Pen, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Philippe Poutou
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Édouard Philippe, Éric Zemmour, François Ruffin, Laurent Wauquiez, Marine Le Pen, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Philippe Poutou
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Édouard Philippe | 25 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6.5 % |
| François Ruffin | 29 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 4.5 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 30 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 2 % |
EVENT ID: da785a12e76df9aad66d36aecbc196e6dab8d827d44b355d65cb8638d0e2dea4PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗