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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Harris Interactive
Published results from Harris Interactive for fieldwork conducted from 7 July 2024 to 8 July 2024. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Harris Interactive
FIELDWORK
7–8 July 2024
SAMPLE
n=2,496
SCENARIOS
4
CANDIDATES TESTED
13
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Philippe Poutou · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–5 % · Δ 2 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS15 %–17 % · Δ 2 pts
Olivier Faure · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS5 %–6 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS20 %–23 % · Δ 3 pts
Laurent Wauquiez · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS5 %–5 % · Δ 0 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS31 %–32 % · Δ 1 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS22 %–24 % · Δ 2 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS14 %–14 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
4 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 2 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Olivier Faure | 6 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 23 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: d6a7cccf928b4c00c7c2aa8cb0c357578c5dd0756e1b66a2c96f69201dcab82cPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 2 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 4 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Olivier Faure | 5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 24 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 3aaa54b6b1642d95c3a4d2e03c1e95c28d1e5199534468c4252f1f0c68e1002fPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 14 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 22 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 31 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 33daf25ccd7557bbec2756f3616f8c92cecc96e28b951e0364d1dcc9c23e4074PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 2 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 14 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 20 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 31 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 26ee9201f5e6d76d47259fec3d5ef28c5b3b6794f7a2848661e7b18b125cd51aPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗