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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop
Published results from Ifop for fieldwork conducted from 6 September 2024 to 9 September 2024. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop
FIELDWORK
6–9 September 2024
SAMPLE
n=1,107
SCENARIOS
6
CANDIDATES TESTED
14
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS3 %–3.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS5 %–6 % · Δ 1 pts
François Hollande · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS7 %–8 % · Δ 1 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS22 %–24 % · Δ 2 pts
Jean Lassalle · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS9 %–10 % · Δ 1 pts
Laurent Wauquiez · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS4 %–5 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS34 %–35 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS5 %–6 % · Δ 1 pts
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS0.5 %–1 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Philippe Poutou · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS1 %–1.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Olivier Faure · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS4 %–4 % · Δ 0 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS26 %–27 % · Δ 1 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
6 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, François Hollande, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Laurent Wauquiez, Marine Le Pen, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Philippe Poutou
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, François Hollande, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Laurent Wauquiez, Marine Le Pen, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Philippe Poutou
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 6 % |
| François Hollande | 7 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 22 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 10 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
EVENT ID: 9684178fcce352ee8a701185d3d3b7a43948ff3db103b7ffc963a16fdcccca18PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 10 % |
| François Hollande | 8 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 22 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 3 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 97c5ab6be28f34a1c671a473b8d7b78f4f6cb7c60bca481438167d3b6de60a94PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 6 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 10 % |
| Olivier Faure | 4 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 6 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 24 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 3 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 57b0d9713e881628ea072a06bab21c8f16d44d45156d25d08b483ab97ade868aPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 6 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 9 % |
| Olivier Faure | 4 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 27 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 3 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 4 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3.5 % |
EVENT ID: ceac748639e897a8a8f581ff221a0c935c5a2e6c7b1bfd2f1c068bbafa1b74e9PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 6 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 9.5 % |
| François Hollande | 7 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 26 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 2 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 4 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 4dabddb0ef3ade4a1915c63c1dcdfcf5de13f98e834a8ede02c94814c299fe5fPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 6COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Édouard Philippe, Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, François Hollande, Jean Lassalle, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Laurent Wauquiez, Marine Le Pen, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Philippe Poutou
SCENARIO 6COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Édouard Philippe, Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, François Hollande, Jean Lassalle, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Laurent Wauquiez, Marine Le Pen, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Philippe Poutou
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Édouard Philippe | 26 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 5 % |
| François Hollande | 8 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 9.5 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 4 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
EVENT ID: eef2a856053a90ae989ea84e09961ba098c2a778336be38beec98cd352e40510PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗