—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop
Published results from Ifop for fieldwork conducted from 26 March 2025 to 27 March 2025. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop
FIELDWORK
26–27 March 2025
SAMPLE
n=1,119
SCENARIOS
5
CANDIDATES TESTED
14
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Philippe Poutou · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–4 % · Δ 2 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS12 %–13 % · Δ 1 pts
Olivier Faure · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS4 %–5 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Laurent Wauquiez · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS5 %–8 % · Δ 3 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS34 %–37 % · Δ 3 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS5 %–6 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS20 %–25 % · Δ 5 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS11 %–11 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
5 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 4 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Olivier Faure | 5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 20 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 37 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 9c1fa1816424c4eeebe058b2550cd6ba334e4feab4c2aa4952f09a01ca76f28ePUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 4 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Olivier Faure | 4 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 25 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 4 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 38398c942854aefd8f5e1ed2df179a61ca48ac43075eb140b6be001431895692PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Olivier Faure | 5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 21 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 11 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: bd59aea444363ea129c2cc30482ab61cdfff0596cf9c8c241e3843d400d614a1PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Édouard Philippe, Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Laurent Wauquiez, Marine Le Pen, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Philippe Poutou, Raphaël Glucksmann
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Édouard Philippe, Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Laurent Wauquiez, Marine Le Pen, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Philippe Poutou, Raphaël Glucksmann
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Édouard Philippe | 20 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
EVENT ID: 6c5285556468aaf7824dc02588fa6d2dc9e186d62da6349918d5a703fcb1714dPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 20 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: e1402a33cfef24b6d7c538f80ff2975d4b4d26bfbb3311db1a633e8c574c6ee9PUBLISHED TOTAL: 99 %SOURCE ↗