—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop
Published results from Ifop for fieldwork conducted from 6 December 2024 to 9 December 2024. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop
FIELDWORK
6–9 December 2024
SAMPLE
n=1,101
SCENARIOS
4
CANDIDATES TESTED
15
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS0.5 %–1 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Philippe Poutou · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS0.5 %–0.5 % · Δ 0 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS11 %–12 % · Δ 1 pts
Olivier Faure · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS4 %–5 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS4 %–5 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS24 %–26 % · Δ 2 pts
Jean Lassalle · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1 %–1.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Laurent Wauquiez · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS6 %–8 % · Δ 2 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–3.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS35 %–38 % · Δ 3 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
4 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 0.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Olivier Faure | 4 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 26 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 1.5 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 6.5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3.5 % |
| Jordan Bardella | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 96e500c6323b19d769333507c0a370aadfa5e0ee3fb0e05255fbb29a07630eb8PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 0.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Olivier Faure | 5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4.5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 20 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 1 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 38 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 56ce936f393224f3ab8fd59399c1f6f482454142c1d2adca1b1f8dae16333309PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 0.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Olivier Faure | 4 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4.5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 25 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 1 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3.5 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 5108144bac2dff94287bce036a5c8160dce3bfd40db67b4592a7f71a9539c110PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Philippe Poutou, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Jean Lassalle, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Philippe Poutou | 0.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 11 % |
| François Hollande | 7 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 24 % |
| Jean Lassalle | 1.5 % |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 35a3c7ae7d96b7a93021ccf8fcb20a7bfb3597d805913cb8ce4b0980ff3b6109PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗