—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop/Hexagone
Published results from Ifop/Hexagone for fieldwork conducted from 11 April 2025 to 18 April 2025. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop/Hexagone
FIELDWORK
11–18 April 2025
SAMPLE
n=9,128
SCENARIOS
8
CANDIDATES TESTED
15
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Arthaud · TESTED IN 8 SCENARIOS0.5 %–2 % · Δ 1.5 pts
Roussel · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS2 %–2.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Mélenchon · TESTED IN 8 SCENARIOS10 %–13 % · Δ 3 pts
Ruffin · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS4.5 %–10 % · Δ 5.5 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS9 %–15 % · Δ 6 pts
Tondelier · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Attal · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS8 %–14 % · Δ 6 pts
Retailleau · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS7.5 %–14 % · Δ 6.5 pts
Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 8 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Bardella · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS32 %–35 % · Δ 3 pts
Zemmour · TESTED IN 8 SCENARIOS4 %–4 % · Δ 0 pts
Philippe · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS15 %–26 % · Δ 11 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
8 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1PARTIAL SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 1PARTIAL SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 2.5 % |
| Mélenchon | 10 % |
| Ruffin | 5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Tondelier | 3 % |
| Attal | 14 % |
| Retailleau | 14 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 33 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 463f4409328edc1d68925e93983fd50a41b7ee86b82bbdf49830470b6b93ce9bPUBLISHED TOTAL: 98.5 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1.5 % |
| Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 15 % |
| Philippe | 22 % |
| Retailleau | 9 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2.5 % |
| Bardella | 33 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 2d40a694c0128e8f67d0ec42c882cd30af8835361832931f878e90d47bb2e2d5PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 2 % |
| Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Ruffin | 10 % |
| Philippe | 26 % |
| Retailleau | 10 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Bardella | 33 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 7f8cc4f2d6c3395a46482d597943a7c3620b13e3f5cf63b12dad5d8d8ca0819dPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 2.5 % |
| Mélenchon | 10 % |
| Ruffin | 5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Tondelier | 2.5 % |
| Philippe | 22 % |
| Retailleau | 8 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 33 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 815a2f59f7537718405bdc564fe6c3e3ae9c2a30ba53f2c1fd20e360fe0d7e91PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5PARTIAL SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5PARTIAL SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 10 % |
| François Ruffin | 5.5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 21 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 342e408ce1403db0a1cde86099772a822f3f1af706dbfbade2e6e07c1f512e5cPUBLISHED TOTAL: 96 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 6COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Wauquiez, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 6COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Wauquiez, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 2.5 % |
| Mélenchon | 10 % |
| Ruffin | 5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Tondelier | 3 % |
| Philippe | 24 % |
| Wauquiez | 3 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2.5 % |
| Bardella | 35 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 8b88ccf523d98c697303469fb51e9140a367c07ad11a1eaf13f6596a0dcc54e4PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 7COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Bruno Retailleau, Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, François Ruffin, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Jordan Bardella, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Raphaël Glucksmann
SCENARIO 7COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Bruno Retailleau, Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, François Ruffin, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Jordan Bardella, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Raphaël Glucksmann
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Bruno Retailleau | 14 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2.5 % |
| François Ruffin | 5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 14 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 10 % |
| Jordan Bardella | 33 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11.5 % |
EVENT ID: ff679a12ead42538eaa128cdf022a45d2df500c11c14eedf8e7b2bae67f4f1e5PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 8COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Philippe, de Villepin, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 8COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Philippe, de Villepin, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 2.5 % |
| Mélenchon | 10 % |
| Ruffin | 4.5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 9 % |
| Tondelier | 2 % |
| Attal | 8 % |
| Philippe | 15 % |
| de Villepin | 2 % |
| Retailleau | 7.5 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2.5 % |
| Bardella | 32 % |
| Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 242c7d66dfa4d82e973f9e86706074c06113fbd6e4c65084d8b4e5831c0f8c33PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗