—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
OpinionWay
Published results from OpinionWay for fieldwork conducted from 8 July 2026 to 9 July 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
OpinionWay
FIELDWORK
8–9 July 2026
SAMPLE
n=963
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
10
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS15 %–15 % · Δ 0 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS9 %–10 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS4 %–5 % · Δ 1 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS9 %–12 % · Δ 3 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS34 %–36 % · Δ 2 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 9 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 22 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 2b46b9113c076f738b23b888bfbd225a6a9d6fc51455d5ee6bb378f16be676cfPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 16 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 12 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: b1fc55ac565513de095e9ebe73d390e601001b32b385c7f3e92551c4810a70a4PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗