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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Harris Interactive
Published results from Harris Interactive for fieldwork conducted from 7 July 2026 to 8 July 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Harris Interactive
FIELDWORK
7–8 July 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,582
SCENARIOS
5
CANDIDATES TESTED
12
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS16 %–16 % · Δ 0 pts
François Hollande · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS8 %–8 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–5 % · Δ 3 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS8 %–16 % · Δ 8 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS7 %–9 % · Δ 2 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS34 %–36 % · Δ 2 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS4 %–5 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS10 %–11 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS14 %–20 % · Δ 6 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
5 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| François Hollande | 8 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 16 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 4c71ef93ad7aa13687879acfd49b002fd1cecd48dde26aae543797d31841ab96PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 16 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 1 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 81524cb3bfb03c804db040088d6e1e9471514756cee08d3de653c3e9d04320c6PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 8 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 14 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 1 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 796a642f37569741b9fa32417adb11389ac4fd695a1644fb25f9dd744c6e3af0PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| François Hollande | 8 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 20 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 1 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 34b63a83e869a857a552b54411228f22de24259cc263ec800678a55a0b26441cPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 20 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: b73980ea2c98c6c56061265fe1167e78d81c30c55912e825c76f2cec3531bc63PUBLISHED TOTAL: 101 %SOURCE ↗