—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop
Published results from Ifop for fieldwork conducted from 22 June 2026 to 24 June 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop
FIELDWORK
22–24 June 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,415
SCENARIOS
8
CANDIDATES TESTED
14
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 8 SCENARIOS0.5 %–1.5 % · Δ 1 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 8 SCENARIOS12 %–15 % · Δ 3 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS2.5 %–3 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS8 %–11 % · Δ 3 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS2.5 %–4 % · Δ 1.5 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS8 %–15 % · Δ 7 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 8 SCENARIOS8 %–14 % · Δ 6 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 8 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS32 %–32 % · Δ 0 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 8 SCENARIOS3.5 %–6 % · Δ 2.5 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS14 %–21 % · Δ 7 pts
Jordan Bardella · TESTED IN 6 SCENARIOS35 %–37 % · Δ 2 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
8 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 14 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: c0753fb15a8432eb8cb3f320e8ad84c4bc1f8a1ce86a5edaa8b3c6e61c3c006aPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2.5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 8 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3.5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 19 % |
| David Lisnard | 2 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2.5 % |
| Jordan Bardella | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4.5 % |
EVENT ID: 224dfee98db886ed094bdfb530d304f6eba59799377c1f04eab5c274a15d3fa2PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2.5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3.5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 11 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Jordan Bardella | 37 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4.5 % |
EVENT ID: 06a9ed1218be380f36cade52905fcd22a49097ecb6acce051d6c6f0f315c72baPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 9 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2.5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 8 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 14 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Jordan Bardella | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 9005ba3b7ab35e69cd25d4db05dd1d27a309fff33080e80f65ab795342f0d6a5PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| François Hollande | 9 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 21 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 10 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Jordan Bardella | 37 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3.5 % |
EVENT ID: b47e33289149cc76dbd72726738e80af551dae13a90b3683e8674bc15dd104cdPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 6COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 6COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3.5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 19 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Jordan Bardella | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: aea5f1e0ea39335eab339b6d774e0003f22cad0357bd02d306b45ebcc5b72390PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 7COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 7COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 20 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 11 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2.5 % |
| Jordan Bardella | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 8b2ab779f08a01ca9d411ab855606c568695e99a22d23009ef5e2bc46154754ePUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 8COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 8COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 9 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 20 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 11 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: 1996b12e122bb287cbbe0dae5fbbf64f28f989d346d0150af1ffd71981be6b54PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗