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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop
Published results from Ifop for fieldwork conducted from 7 July 2026 to 8 July 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop
FIELDWORK
7–8 July 2026
SAMPLE
n=984
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
11
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS0.5 %–0.5 % · Δ 0 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS15 %–15 % · Δ 0 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS9 %–12 % · Δ 3 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3.5 %–4 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS8 %–10 % · Δ 2 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS36 %–36 % · Δ 0 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3.5 %–4 % · Δ 0.5 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 10 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3.5 % |
EVENT ID: cf521b6e878060e9f827118474608b2e13037f2a9563f61e807a3ca873d079e2PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 9 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3.5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 19 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: ea715bfeb9291c073a83c3070609a7178c72694aafaa1b590252b385b83fa0bfPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗