—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
OpinionWay
Published results from OpinionWay for fieldwork conducted from 10 June 2026 to 11 June 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
OpinionWay
FIELDWORK
10–11 June 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,001
SCENARIOS
3
CANDIDATES TESTED
10
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS13 %–16 % · Δ 3 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS4 %–5 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS13 %–16 % · Δ 3 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS19 %–19 % · Δ 0 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS8 %–9 % · Δ 1 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
3 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, The RN candidate, Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, The RN candidate, Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 19 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| The RN candidate, Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella | 33 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: cc8b033310b2a4b15c846e903591628d8aee9f5df97d0411c86e1b5385e02f83PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, The RN candidate, Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, The RN candidate, Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 4 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 14 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 14 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| The RN candidate, Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 848136fabb27a00e5c4750c43d85a473d5c44eda4053172ce49e665cfec4b5b1PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, The RN candidate, Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, The RN candidate, Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 16 % |
| Philippe | 19 % |
| Retailleau | 9 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| The RN candidate, Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella | 34 % |
| Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 0697cffa94c94e93729c21f560ec37aea5513c53fe6c43a3f75763101422b381PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗