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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Harris Interactive
Published results from Harris Interactive for fieldwork conducted from 25 May 2026 to 27 May 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Harris Interactive
FIELDWORK
25–27 May 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,744
SCENARIOS
7
CANDIDATES TESTED
13
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS8 %–11 % · Δ 3 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS5 %–6 % · Δ 1 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS9 %–15 % · Δ 6 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS14 %–15 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS31 %–32 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 7 SCENARIOS10 %–11 % · Δ 1 pts
Sarah Knafo · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS6 %–6 % · Δ 0 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS13 %–19 % · Δ 6 pts
Bardella · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS32 %–34 % · Δ 2 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
7 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Bruno Retailleau, Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Marine Le Pen, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Raphaël Glucksmann
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Bruno Retailleau, Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Marine Le Pen, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Raphaël Glucksmann
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Bruno Retailleau | 11 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 4 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 15 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
EVENT ID: 664af5da697567133cd17ec092b83df7430ff14384980becaed8d918b35489bfPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Sarah Knafo
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Sarah Knafo
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 4 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 11 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Sarah Knafo | 6 % |
EVENT ID: 967dae104d2e239b6db434c7f914611c4b24c8683839af836724dbea3bc32823PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Sarah Knafo
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Sarah Knafo
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 19 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 10 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 31 % |
| Sarah Knafo | 6 % |
EVENT ID: d66320c91f5ef2441ff533167f6fc42fc5e3cf129cd3ef193979bce7674bd80fPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Tondelier | 3 % |
| Attal | 9 % |
| Philippe | 13 % |
| Retailleau | 8 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 32 % |
| Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: bc7d92e6b1044bec8da24a4b7ed5bf0b3157b0c7906c324e37a7bd9d06921423PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 4 % |
| Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Tondelier | 3 % |
| Attal | 14 % |
| Retailleau | 10 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 34 % |
| Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: 2eaddd07aa56ff2dbb491e9dc000b5264156431a89b9b9660b6cb347c6cc008dPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 6COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 6COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Tondelier | 3 % |
| Philippe | 17 % |
| Retailleau | 9 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 34 % |
| Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: 2facf1b78fdd191bc0466bb67545dbd143b1a7dc1ed9e97bddfbd849e742d6a2PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 7COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Bruno Retailleau, Édouard Philippe, Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Marine Le Pen, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Raphaël Glucksmann
SCENARIO 7COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Bruno Retailleau, Édouard Philippe, Éric Zemmour, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Marine Le Pen, Marine Tondelier, Nathalie Arthaud, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Raphaël Glucksmann
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Bruno Retailleau | 10 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 19 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 31 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
EVENT ID: d436b6c5d08743b3f87994d8c2bf9c345a3a25d1c846e336f2526a9adca91a48PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗