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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Cluster17
Published results from Cluster17 for fieldwork conducted from 22 July 2026 to 24 July 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Cluster17
FIELDWORK
22–24 July 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,506
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
12
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS18 %–18 % · Δ 0 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS10 %–10 % · Δ 0 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS8 %–10 % · Δ 2 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS30 %–30 % · Δ 0 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS4 %–4 % · Δ 0 pts
Dominique de Villepin · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, Dominique de Villepin
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, Dominique de Villepin
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 18 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 18 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 30 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
| Dominique de Villepin | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 62e80d1240f0407284dcb0803afdfd03ef03029b2e7dc1f915424b9fb0bbe3e2PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, Dominique de Villepin
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, Dominique de Villepin
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 18 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 14 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 10 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 4 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 30 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
| Dominique de Villepin | 4 % |
EVENT ID: fc124f28a0743693ed5a8d9e5b6973b74a4b6c491414e9fd05b77e96fce6fb20PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗