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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Harris Interactive
Published results from Harris Interactive for fieldwork conducted from 18 August 2026 to 19 August 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Harris Interactive
FIELDWORK
18–19 August 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,764
SCENARIOS
5
CANDIDATES TESTED
12
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS16 %–17 % · Δ 1 pts
François Hollande · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS8 %–8 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS8 %–15 % · Δ 7 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS6 %–9 % · Δ 3 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS35 %–38 % · Δ 3 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS10 %–11 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS14 %–19 % · Δ 5 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
5 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| François Hollande | 8 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 14 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 38 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: d23c9e57c93ad5f1e9c3e7767391bc7f7498e55c4f25df1094032b421b821580PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 37 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: fe9898aa9a7507a87a324c49f646235a974c785ae950c72c54c18823c0b10f02PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 8 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 14 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: f9a98df97770794087e0303fdafe22f2de5ac7d59c0052e9f0f7bb878dc30a26PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, François Hollande, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| François Hollande | 8 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 19 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 43af6695b0cb93c606cf175769d568f4b4eb843b1f96686acfa184f7f0c6d5c4PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 17 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: ed02fa14f7e21f327acd7542104f4e51770ff692cf67bf8a5096276f9c921748PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗