—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Cluster17
Published results from Cluster17 for fieldwork conducted from 31 August 2026 to 1 September 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Cluster17
FIELDWORK
31 Aug–1 Sep 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,711
SCENARIOS
3
CANDIDATES TESTED
14
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS17 %–18 % · Δ 1 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS11 %–11.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS17 %–18 % · Δ 1 pts
Dominique de Villepin · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS3.5 %–4 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS6.5 %–9 % · Δ 2.5 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS29 %–31.5 % · Δ 2.5 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
3 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, François Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Dominique de Villepin, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, David Lisnard
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, François Ruffin, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Dominique de Villepin, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, David Lisnard
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| François Ruffin | 4 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 17 % |
| Dominique de Villepin | 3.5 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 6.5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 29 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
| David Lisnard | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 4810851ea958b928b63298fa94fb082afc6cc7d449b2aad41f023953bb1aac36PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Dominique de Villepin, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Dominique de Villepin, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 18 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11.5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 18 % |
| Dominique de Villepin | 3.5 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7.5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 30 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3.5 % |
EVENT ID: 3343a3f579673a9c6d739c692fd3f409fd2ef0ebbdb11775ba881b7b51d63263PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Dominique de Villepin, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Dominique de Villepin, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 18 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2.5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11.5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 13.5 % |
| Dominique de Villepin | 4 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 31.5 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 76e77f1828ffae02a34ee1de2e4cf1668ab77c5e5611dfbb6d0c7b57bfb84752PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗