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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
OpinionWay
Published results from OpinionWay for fieldwork conducted from 8 September 2026 to 9 September 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
OpinionWay
FIELDWORK
8–9 September 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,001
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
11
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS15 %–15 % · Δ 0 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS10 %–12 % · Δ 2 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS10 %–12 % · Δ 2 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS34 %–34 % · Δ 0 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS4 %–4 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 14 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 12 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 4376dd89b093d716c183e4e392030e69f9182d2e5211d1a3ef45fd69c0bbe9a8PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 1 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 19 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 10 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 879b45237dcf1e964723cb0ed2ce2ef7fa50d8cf363fdd6e95d4790983e85ec5PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗