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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Harris
Published results from Harris for fieldwork conducted from 8 September 2026 to 10 September 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Harris
FIELDWORK
8–10 September 2026
SAMPLE
n=2,052
SCENARIOS
5
CANDIDATES TESTED
12
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS16 %–17 % · Δ 1 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
François Hollande · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS7 %–7 % · Δ 0 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS8 %–15 % · Δ 7 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS7 %–10 % · Δ 3 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS33 %–36 % · Δ 3 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS5 %–5 % · Δ 0 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS9 %–12 % · Δ 3 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS14 %–19 % · Δ 5 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
5 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| François Hollande | 7 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 10 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 14f2d363876c8ed64b648958b755841fbfad8f508e3bd6ac12d0cf532782742ePUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 14 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 3856921029f4934d7a6894fe7cf1e9150e440bc8b5042fdc3b43b2a1998b377cPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 9 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 8 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 14 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 33 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: f6e83c14109c85f81e240329e6d85b2f42402908fdc908f14a14687ae7030da7PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| François Hollande | 7 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 19 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 33 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 623ea1ced88c579ea8b8467ab9660c750db170db14c65ce226e4cff08b9cffd3PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 17 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 74be88dd54c260b901e0996928e118869bd67ea0fbd5f46acea0db8c6f4ba41cPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗