—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
OpinionWay
Published results from OpinionWay for fieldwork conducted from 9 September 2026 to 10 September 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
OpinionWay
FIELDWORK
9–10 September 2026
SAMPLE
n=935
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
14
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS16 %–17 % · Δ 1 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Karim Bouamrane · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS8 %–8 % · Δ 0 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS16 %–16 % · Δ 0 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS7 %–7 % · Δ 0 pts
David Lisnard · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS32 %–33 % · Δ 1 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Ségolène Royal, Karim Bouamrane, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, David Lisnard, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Éric Zemmour, Marine Le Pen
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Ségolène Royal, Karim Bouamrane, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, David Lisnard, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Éric Zemmour, Marine Le Pen
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 4 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Ségolène Royal | 3 % |
| Karim Bouamrane | 1 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 8 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 16 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| David Lisnard | 2 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 33 % |
EVENT ID: 547d14cf13fb2f407e743b91f6347dad9c0a3db48e750b380bdfc27b8fede2cdPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Karim Bouamrane, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, David Lisnard, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Éric Zemmour, Marine Le Pen
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Karim Bouamrane, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, David Lisnard, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Éric Zemmour, Marine Le Pen
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| François Hollande | 7 % |
| Karim Bouamrane | 1 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 8 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 16 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| David Lisnard | 2 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
EVENT ID: 34b67c973777cf14f9c19068b4642d119367e3312053f442ba16e9612c051cacPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
HYPOTHESIS 3 IN THE ORIGINAL PDFSOURCE ONLYOpinionWay / CNews
HYPOTHESIS 3 IN THE ORIGINAL PDFSOURCE ONLY
OpinionWay / CNews
| TESTED CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED RESULT (%) |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | <1% |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17% |
| Fabien Roussel | 2% |
| Marine Tondelier | 3% |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 9% |
| Karim Bouamrane | <1% |
| Gabriel Attal | 7% |
| Édouard Philippe | 15% |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7% |
| David Lisnard | 2% |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2% |
| Éric Zemmour | 2% |
| Marine Le Pen | 34% |
Source evidence only: this table adds no numerical observation.
Literal values; a dash is not zero, <1% is not an exact score.ORIGINAL PDF ↗