—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
OpinionWay
Published results from OpinionWay for fieldwork conducted from 2 September 2026 to 3 September 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
OpinionWay
FIELDWORK
2–3 September 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,003
SCENARIOS
3
CANDIDATES TESTED
10
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS16 %–17 % · Δ 1 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS11 %–13 % · Δ 2 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS15 %–20 % · Δ 5 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS7 %–11 % · Δ 4 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS33 %–35 % · Δ 2 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS7 %–13 % · Δ 6 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
3 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 20 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 33 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 598a3bb7b954209141e7bbd541683eb922eabf24b827b703993429d22671c803PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 7 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 7aa7ac5de88c659b2516b20a4b6f0b9ec1b8c2dcfe9848f2137b84fafa88380dPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 13 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 11 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 82c5af2ec2a85f72253b11acc806dc392a1aa38c0e4eed85cf89da779cd8d119PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗