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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Harris Interactive
Published results from Harris Interactive for fieldwork conducted from 19 May 2025 to 19 May 2025. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Harris Interactive
FIELDWORK
19 May 2025
SAMPLE
n=1,071
SCENARIOS
4
CANDIDATES TESTED
11
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Arthaud · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Roussel · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Mélenchon · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS14 %–15 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS10 %–11 % · Δ 1 pts
Tondelier · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS21 %–21 % · Δ 0 pts
Retailleau · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS12 %–17 % · Δ 5 pts
Bardella · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS30 %–31 % · Δ 1 pts
Zemmour · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS5 %–5 % · Δ 0 pts
Attal · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS15 %–15 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS31 %–31 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
4 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Tondelier | 3 % |
| Philippe | 21 % |
| Retailleau | 13 % |
| Bardella | 30 % |
| Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: f94b1ee2731f7547616ebb3b13abe4631fd15470812407297019bbad8e4a37efPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Retailleau, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Attal, Retailleau, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 3 % |
| Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Tondelier | 3 % |
| Attal | 15 % |
| Retailleau | 17 % |
| Bardella | 31 % |
| Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 9be5b717c9b87cdcdc4017b21c318988efd4ba5aa591c060e6d5313016978349PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 21 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 12 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 31 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: e99fdf8f427515afafb666b686703a70a2eed5a10bb25b5b2e127c6208e55f5cPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Marine Tondelier, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 16 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 31 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: af188e52061aa90a9e82bd35bd90a97e2559f1a92c2cf602874ae37e26651c2cPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗