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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop
Published results from Ifop for fieldwork conducted from 19 May 2025 to 20 May 2025. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop
FIELDWORK
19–20 May 2025
SAMPLE
n=1,114
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
11
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–3.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS13 %–13.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Faure · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS4.5 %–4.5 % · Δ 0 pts
Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS4.5 %–5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS21 %–21 % · Δ 0 pts
Retailleau · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS16 %–16 % · Δ 0 pts
Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Zemmour · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–3.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Faure, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Faure, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 3.5 % |
| Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Faure | 4.5 % |
| Tondelier | 4.5 % |
| Philippe | 21 % |
| Retailleau | 16 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 31 % |
| Zemmour | 3.5 % |
EVENT ID: ddd379c6d67e0d116a239bc43fa027607c62b0f4508283e97119598c3394504bPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13.5 % |
| Olivier Faure | 4.5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 21 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 16 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 31 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 8acd244fe1f2c4e2aedfbb6a702108dc0f77a28478520cf51f6dd783e611316ePUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗