—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Harris
Published results from Harris for fieldwork conducted from 19 October 2026 to 21 October 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Harris
FIELDWORK
19–21 October 2026
SAMPLE
n=2,094
SCENARIOS
5
CANDIDATES TESTED
13
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS17 %–19 % · Δ 2 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS12 %–14 % · Δ 2 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS5 %–11 % · Δ 6 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS4 %–9 % · Δ 5 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS33 %–35 % · Δ 2 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS5 %–6 % · Δ 1 pts
David Lisnard · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS7 %–8 % · Δ 1 pts
Dominique de Villepin · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS13 %–16 % · Δ 3 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
5 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 19 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 11 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: c75d48159d4672fb946678498f3c7f14ac39ce0ad1bc91ddde8840eb80e42e97PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, Dominique de Villepin
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, Dominique de Villepin
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 14 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 10 % |
| David Lisnard | 8 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 1 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 33 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
| Dominique de Villepin | 2 % |
EVENT ID: be1ddb9a582d897293d4db4fe62c0b2b26cbc69bd9d16829e9ff433331da271ePUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 1 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 13 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: 6cb1268fde557929397dcd0de955a7ad55af292de527ec6327b38fbb86954516PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, Dominique de Villepin
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, Dominique de Villepin
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 15 % |
| David Lisnard | 7 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 4 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 1 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 33 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
| Dominique de Villepin | 1 % |
EVENT ID: 8de08d6649ead4cd8f4936fd1a1ec8a79a4b3f5a647721f9bf8c07f64c0c8353PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 16 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: ad6a1410868e64b3a8da9f6018cd896bc162d7f055297650fa1e18d9b04283bfPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗