—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Elabe
Published results from Elabe for fieldwork conducted from 14 October 2026 to 16 October 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Elabe
FIELDWORK
14–16 October 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,553
SCENARIOS
1
CANDIDATES TESTED
11
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
1 SCENARIO
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Natacha Polony, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Fabien Roussel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Natacha Polony, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2.5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 16 % |
| Natacha Polony | 1.5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 16.5 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7.5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2.5 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 33.5 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: ba337267d959ac63155184f6a4554fee3076b0186ca14e6259b0f76d13648d90PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗