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daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
YouGov
Published results from YouGov for fieldwork conducted from 12 October 2026 to 15 October 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
YouGov
FIELDWORK
12–15 October 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,094
SCENARIOS
5
CANDIDATES TESTED
15
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS0 %–1 % · Δ 1 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS13 %–16 % · Δ 3 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS5 %–6 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS12 %–14 % · Δ 2 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS6 %–10 % · Δ 4 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS5 %–9 % · Δ 4 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS35 %–37 % · Δ 2 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS3 %–4 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS8 %–15 % · Δ 7 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
5 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 6 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 14 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 10 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 37 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 297cedfc0e854593c3013d5bfddc7b76bd366a6701ba2bd73aa5762d853c1572PUBLISHED TOTAL: 101 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, David Lisnard, François Ruffin, Dominique de Villepin
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, David Lisnard, François Ruffin, Dominique de Villepin
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 6 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 8 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
| David Lisnard | 4 % |
| François Ruffin | 2 % |
| Dominique de Villepin | 1 % |
EVENT ID: c787431f293e9e743e53144858f9e6aa5d3bdba2b0e8de4f337ac5ad6081bb79PUBLISHED TOTAL: 99 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 6 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 12 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 6 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 10 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 6 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: a8b5d1cac12f97bb852a3da38204cd52aca008eed9be5a4e17938411bff29166PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 6 % |
| François Hollande | 9 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 37 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 9b43ed344c441fa1cd738bf0bd54cc90d8460a8640373cc5bcc3d34ef7150767PUBLISHED TOTAL: 101 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 6 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 13 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 3 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 6d9731a8f7039402b668307735c7446686f353d00806a162cab200e80d176e51PUBLISHED TOTAL: 99 %SOURCE ↗