—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
OpinionWay
Published results from OpinionWay for fieldwork conducted from 13 October 2026 to 14 October 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
OpinionWay
FIELDWORK
13–14 October 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,043
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
11
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS15 %–15 % · Δ 0 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS15 %–16 % · Δ 1 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS8 %–9 % · Δ 1 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS35 %–37 % · Δ 2 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS4 %–4 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 16 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 11 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 37 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 955b6810c4414e9f77069d7bdfce1306b2b4fa2d94cb724477cf256c921e68c4PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 15 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 15 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 15 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4 % |
EVENT ID: 7c7bb3a59970c61e70ba91e474b2ed4a6386645d2b258b8d6c3aa9e4f7aecf03PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗