—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Odoxa
Published results from Odoxa for fieldwork conducted from 24 September 2026 to 7 October 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Odoxa
FIELDWORK
24 Sep–7 Oct 2026
SAMPLE
n=12,005
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
11
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS0.5 %–1 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS18 %–18.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS3 %–3.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS9.5 %–10.5 % · Δ 1 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS6.5 %–9 % · Δ 2.5 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS37 %–38 % · Δ 1 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS4.5 %–4.5 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 18.5 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3.5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10.5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 11 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 38 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4.5 % |
EVENT ID: 1cd0d459a56bc3aa351d061e9f135681019114d898a653b4382006002ef257c0PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 18 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 9.5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 17 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 6.5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 37 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 4.5 % |
EVENT ID: d82dab498a2fabe846f446087107022177b71dded1f9e0014ae7915b3c373e9aPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗