—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Harris
Published results from Harris for fieldwork conducted from 22 September 2026 to 24 September 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Harris
FIELDWORK
22–24 September 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,974
SCENARIOS
5
CANDIDATES TESTED
12
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS17 %–18 % · Δ 1 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS3 %–5 % · Δ 2 pts
François Hollande · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS7 %–8 % · Δ 1 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS5 %–13 % · Δ 8 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS7 %–10 % · Δ 3 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS35 %–36 % · Δ 1 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 5 SCENARIOS5 %–6 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS10 %–11 % · Δ 1 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS13 %–16 % · Δ 3 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
5 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 5 % |
| François Hollande | 8 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 13 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 10 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: c7792c80a8992c1356d86afd25336890d7e166fc67f6b031cf7238b22ac0dd16PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 12 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 10 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 6 % |
EVENT ID: a192ada6e8e89934f05741ed3f50e36bcf1ab310d3820dc9c96f032a9507683fPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 13 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 7 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 0fd5c8b9d085207d29bdebeb98ea386cba41271d25c2f3180f883c52667cf4daPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, François Hollande, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 18 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 4 % |
| François Hollande | 7 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 16 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 9 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 9ef2d586bf1801408ff5f178a1698009e2afda44eaba974c4ed81f58e4c8e871PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 5COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 1 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 18 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 3 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 16 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 20e56fe5b9df0f5fd17b6485cd112c0e319d0b64f81c384f77b28466abecffabPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗