—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Ifop
Published results from Ifop for fieldwork conducted from 12 October 2026 to 14 October 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Ifop
FIELDWORK
12–14 October 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,390
SCENARIOS
4
CANDIDATES TESTED
14
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS16 %–17 % · Δ 1 pts
Fabien Roussel · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS2 %–3 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Tondelier · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS2 %–2.5 % · Δ 0.5 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS11.5 %–16 % · Δ 4.5 pts
Gabriel Attal · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS5 %–13 % · Δ 8 pts
Édouard Philippe · TESTED IN 3 SCENARIOS13 %–18 % · Δ 5 pts
Bruno Retailleau · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS5 %–8 % · Δ 3 pts
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS1 %–2 % · Δ 1 pts
Marine Le Pen · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS32 %–36 % · Δ 4 pts
Éric Zemmour · TESTED IN 4 SCENARIOS3 %–3 % · Δ 0 pts
Nathalie Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS0.5 %–0.5 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
4 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, David Lisnard, François Ruffin, Dominique de Villepin
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour, David Lisnard, François Ruffin, Dominique de Villepin
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11.5 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 13 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 1 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 32 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
| David Lisnard | 6 % |
| François Ruffin | 2 % |
| Dominique de Villepin | 1.5 % |
EVENT ID: 4a6c5f34ac2734e9fa0adedc000b6b16610a4eed518e3cff7f9ddb34f60e8a91PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 17 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2.5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 16 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 13 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 8 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 36 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 5aca390928659c3f3b314112794b382315fedb850721ea610cba6b7b4725e128PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 3COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 2.5 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 14 % |
| Gabriel Attal | 6 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 14 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 6.5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 34 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: cd677d58dfd3b93cb719b6d8f8e3774881b3e7b31d514f0fdceb19f728f8102fPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
SCENARIO 4COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Nathalie Arthaud, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Fabien Roussel, Marine Tondelier, Raphaël Glucksmann, Édouard Philippe, Bruno Retailleau, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Marine Le Pen, Éric Zemmour
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Nathalie Arthaud | 0.5 % |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 16 % |
| Fabien Roussel | 3 % |
| Marine Tondelier | 2.5 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 13.5 % |
| Édouard Philippe | 18 % |
| Bruno Retailleau | 6.5 % |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Marine Le Pen | 35 % |
| Éric Zemmour | 3 % |
EVENT ID: 1a6f1a941eac105a3aa461b4a20650ca67256cb548aaa28b54d1f5a246cf20afPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗