FRANCE 2027 SIGNAL LABSource-linked signals from the French presidential race.
—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
Illustrated portrait of Gabriel Attal
CANDIDATE DOSSIER

Gabriel Attal

Descriptive summary of data published by France 2027 Signal Lab. No average · no forecast · no voting advice.
DECLARED CANDIDACYStatus verified as of 30 Jul 2026
POLLING DATA
4–9.5% · 2 hypotheses
Ipsos · fieldwork from 21 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026
MEDIA PULSE
4.9%
share of election + campaign coverage, not a measure of support
ARTICLES
12
articles · 3 active days
PUBLISHERS
6
in the current 7-day window

NEWS

Latest source-linked articles, events and changes.

LATEST NEWS

5 articles

EVENTS

3 upcoming · 2 recent
DEBATE

Débat présidentiel 7 — Gabriel Attal : École, intégration, autorité de l’État

Palais des Congrès · Saint-Raphaël

Les Rencontres de l’Avenir ↗
DEBATE

Débat présidentiel LCI–Restos du Cœur — Quelle société pour demain ?

LCI / Les Restos du Cœur

LCI / TF1 Info ↗
DEBATE

Grand Oral tourisme – Présidentielle 2027

Salon Berlioz — InterContinental Paris Le Grand · Paris

ADN Tourisme ↗
OTHER

Interventions de Gabriel Attal et Édouard Philippe au Congrès du Parti radical à Dijon

Parc des Expositions et Congrès · Dijon

Infos Dijon ↗
MEETING

Grand meeting régional de Gabriel Attal à Lyon

L'Amphithéâtre 3000 — Cité internationale · Lyon

Attal Président ↗

WHAT CHANGED

0 items

POLLS

Published scores by hypothesis. No average, smoothing or interpolation.

LATEST WAVE

4–9.5%2 hypotheses

Range of published scores for Gabriel Attal across the hypotheses tested in the latest wave. France 2027 Signal Lab does not calculate an average.

Pollster
Ipsos
Sample
1,500
Fieldwork
21 Oct 2026 — 22 Oct 2026
View poll source ↗

FIRST-ROUND POLL HISTORY

Each mark represents a first-round poll observation grouped by pollster, fieldwork dates and sample size. A point shows the exact selected-hypothesis score when available. A vertical bar shows the published range across hypotheses. Horizontal position follows the fieldwork end date. No average, smoothing or interpolation.
58 observations

From 1 Sep 2023 to 22 Oct 2026. Enable JavaScript for the interactive visualization.

Published poll waves · 58
  1. Ipsos · 21–22 Oct 2026
  2. Harris · 19–21 Oct 2026
  3. Ifop · 17–19 Oct 2026
  4. Elabe · 14–16 Oct 2026
  5. Cluster17 · 14–15 Oct 2026
  6. YouGov · 12–15 Oct 2026
  7. OpinionWay · 13–14 Oct 2026
  8. Ifop · 12–14 Oct 2026
  9. Harris · 5–8 Oct 2026
  10. Odoxa · 24 Sep–7 Oct 2026
  11. Ifop · 25–29 Sep 2026
  12. Harris · 22–24 Sep 2026
  13. YouGov · 17–21 Sep 2026
  14. Cluster17 · 15–16 Sep 2026
  15. Ifop · 9–11 Sep 2026
  16. OpinionWay · 9–10 Sep 2026
  17. Harris · 8–10 Sep 2026
  18. OpinionWay · 8–9 Sep 2026
  19. Ipsos · 3–9 Sep 2026
  20. OpinionWay · 2–3 Sep 2026
  21. Ipsos · 31 Aug–2 Sep 2026
  22. Cluster17 · 31 Aug–1 Sep 2026
  23. Elabe · 26–28 Aug 2026
  24. Ifop · 24–25 Aug 2026
  25. Harris Interactive · 18–19 Aug 2026
  26. Cluster17 · 22–24 Jul 2026
  27. Elabe · 9–10 Jul 2026
  28. Verian · 8–10 Jul 2026
  29. OpinionWay · 8–9 Jul 2026
  30. Ifop · 7–8 Jul 2026
  31. Harris Interactive · 7–8 Jul 2026
  32. Ifop · 22–24 Jun 2026
  33. OpinionWay · 10–11 Jun 2026
  34. Ipsos · 27–28 May 2026
  35. Ifop · 26–28 May 2026
  36. Harris Interactive · 25–27 May 2026
  37. Harris Interactive · 28–30 Apr 2026
  38. Harris Interactive · 22 Apr 2026
  39. Elabe · 25–27 Mar 2026
  40. Harris Interactive · 22 Mar 2026
  41. Ifop · 26–27 Feb 2026
  42. Elabe · 30–31 Oct 2025
  43. Elabe · 30–31 Oct 2025
  44. Harris Interactive · 7 Oct 2025
  45. Cluster17 · 30 Sep–1 Oct 2025
  46. Harris Interactive · 19 May 2025
  47. Ifop/Hexagone · 11–18 Apr 2025
  48. Elabe · 2–4 Apr 2025
  49. Ifop · 26–27 Mar 2025
  50. Ifop · 6–9 Dec 2024
  51. OpinionWay · 11–12 Sep 2024
  52. Ifop · 6–9 Sep 2024
  53. Harris Interactive · 7–8 Jul 2024
  54. Ifop · 16–18 Apr 2024
  55. Ifop · 31 Jan–1 Feb 2024
  56. Ifop · 9–10 Jan 2024
  57. Ifop · 24–25 Oct 2023
  58. Harris Interactive · 1–4 Sep 2023

TESTED RUNOFFS

For each runoff, France 2027 Signal Lab shows at most the three most recent observations, ordered by fieldwork end date. Older observations remain in the source corpus. No average or interpolation is calculated.
1 opponent · 3 observations shown

Marine Le Pen

17 tests total · 3 most recent shown
Ifop17 Oct 2026 — 19 Oct 2026
Sample: 1,928
42%58%
Source ↗
YouGov12 Oct 2026 — 15 Oct 2026
Sample: 1,094
45%55%
Source ↗
YouGov17 Sep 2026 — 21 Sep 2026
Sample: 1,103
43%57%
Source ↗

MEDIA PULSE & COVERAGE

Visibility in monitored coverage: volume, publishers, composition and concentration.

MEDIA PULSE

Media Pulse measures the share of articles associated with Gabriel Attal in the election and campaign scopes. It does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
last 7 published days
4.9%SHARE OF ELECTION + CAMPAIGN COVERAGE

Share of articles associated with Gabriel Attal in the election and campaign scopes.

12articles
6publishers
11story clusters
3active days

RECENT COVERAGE TREND

Daily share of election + campaign articles associated with Gabriel Attal. The series covers 29 complete UTC days and does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
29 complete days · UTC

Published history from 25 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026.

COVERAGE STRUCTURE

SCOPE

ELECTION91.7%
11 articles
CAMPAIGN8.3%
1 article

MENTION PLACEMENT

In headline11
Summary only1

TOP PUBLISHER

BFMTV — Politique

TOP PUBLISHERS

6 publishers
  1. BFMTV — Politique7 articles · 58.3%
  2. Europe 11 article · 8.3%
  3. Franceinfo Politique1 article · 8.3%
  4. L'Opinion1 article · 8.3%
  5. La Dépêche du Midi1 article · 8.3%
  6. Les Echos1 article · 8.3%

TOP STORY CLUSTERS

8 clusters
Pillages, casseurs: "C'est le RN qui récolte les fruits de cette situation", déclare Gabriel Attal, candidat Renaissance à la présidentielle2 articles · 1 publisher
Interdiction des réseaux sociaux: "C'est possible de le faire", estime Gabriel Attal, candidat Renaissance à la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
Pillages, casseurs: "C'est 30 ans de lâcheté et de laxisme", estime Gabriel Attal, candidat Renaissance à la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
Pillages, casseurs: "Il faut une mobilisation exceptionnelle des forces de l'ordre", déclare Gabriel Attal, candidat Renaissance à la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
Pillages, casseurs: "On a un retard en France sur l'usage de la reconnaissance faciale et de l'IA", observe Gabriel Attal, candidat Renaissance à la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
Pillages: "Il faut des images de jeunes qu'on traque, qu'on va chercher par le col", déclare Gabriel Attal, candidat Renaissance à la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
Plus de 100 ingérences numériques étrangères dans la campagne présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
Primaire, TVA sociale, répliques aux adversaires : les prises de risque calculées de Gabriel Attal1 article · 1 publisher

LATEST COVERAGE

12 articles

AGENDA & ISSUES

Topics associated with this candidacy in monitored coverage. They describe the composition of media coverage, not the monitored person's priorities or positions.

TOPIC PROFILE · 30D

10 associations · 30 days
  • Work, purchasing power and pensions40.0%
    Work, purchasing power and pensionsProfile share: 40.0%Associations: 4Period: last 30 days
  • Economy and public finances20.0%
    Economy and public financesProfile share: 20.0%Associations: 2Period: last 30 days
  • Europe, defence and foreign affairs20.0%
    Europe, defence and foreign affairsProfile share: 20.0%Associations: 2Period: last 30 days
  • Health, education and public services10.0%
    Health, education and public servicesProfile share: 10.0%Associations: 1Period: last 30 days
  • Climate, energy and agriculture10.0%
    Climate, energy and agricultureProfile share: 10.0%Associations: 1Period: last 30 days
  • Immigration, identity and secularism0.0%
    Immigration, identity and secularismProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • Security and justice0.0%
    Security and justiceProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • Institutions, democracy and territories0.0%
    Institutions, democracy and territoriesProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days

TOPIC PROFILE · SINCE START

67 associations · 86 days · 2026-07-31 → 2026-10-24
  • Europe, defence and foreign affairs40.3%
    Europe, defence and foreign affairsProfile share: 40.3%Associations: 27Period: since tracking began
  • Work, purchasing power and pensions20.9%
    Work, purchasing power and pensionsProfile share: 20.9%Associations: 14Period: since tracking began
  • Economy and public finances10.4%
    Economy and public financesProfile share: 10.4%Associations: 7Period: since tracking began
  • Immigration, identity and secularism10.4%
    Immigration, identity and secularismProfile share: 10.4%Associations: 7Period: since tracking began
  • Institutions, democracy and territories7.5%
    Institutions, democracy and territoriesProfile share: 7.5%Associations: 5Period: since tracking began
  • Health, education and public services6.0%
    Health, education and public servicesProfile share: 6.0%Associations: 4Period: since tracking began
  • Climate, energy and agriculture4.5%
    Climate, energy and agricultureProfile share: 4.5%Associations: 3Period: since tracking began
  • Security and justice0.0%
    Security and justiceProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began

TOPIC EVOLUTION

Daily counts of topic associations, with no average, smoothing or interpolation.
4 main topics

Daily series from 31 Jul 2026 to 24 Oct 2026.

SCRUTINY

Published reviews and the source confirming candidacy status.

CLAIMS UNDER SCRUTINY

1 reviews
BY — claim recorded as attributed to this candidacyABOUT — this candidacy is mentioned; the claim is attributed to another person
  1. BY

    Fleuristes et boulangers interdits d'ouvrir le 1er mai

    Manque de contexte

    AFP FactuelSource ↗

The number of published reviews does not measure a political figure's overall accuracy.

CANDIDACY STATUS

DECLARED CANDIDACY
Status confirmed

Présidentielle 2027 : en Aveyron, Gabriel Attal officialise sa candidature

This source documents the candidacy status recorded by France 2027 Signal Lab.

Source
Public Sénat
Source date
22 May 2026
Status verified as of
30 Jul 2026
Open source ↗

PUBLIC ATTENTION

Pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. This signal does not measure support.

WIKIPEDIA PAGEVIEWS

Wikipedia pageviews measure visits to the article. They do not measure support, sentiment, approval or voting intention.
pageviews
22,168last 7 days
101,772last 28 days
4,4347-day peak
14,719period peak
Open Wikipedia article ↗

PAGEVIEW HISTORY

Daily pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. Repeat visits may be included.
90 days

PUBLIC SIGNALS

These indicators come from independent sources and do not measure the same thing. They are neither a popularity score nor voting intention.

Polymarket

Election winner, including any runoff. Prediction market — not voting intention and not an FR27 forecast. Third-party value, not calculated by FR27. Participants are not a representative sample of French voters. Liquidity and trading conditions may influence prices. FR27 does not combine this signal with polling, Wikipedia, media, agenda or other evidence into a synthetic score. Absence does not mean 0%. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in percentage points. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Vertical scale spans at least 5 percentage points. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Prediction market

1.1%

Implied probability

Polymarket ↗

YouTube

Reviewed personal/campaign channel established from first-party sources and pinned to a stable channel ID. Official-channel subscribers, not electoral support. YouTube rounds subscriber counts down to three significant figures. Uploads use video publication times within the seven days before observation, including both boundaries, only when the full playlist is verified. Incomplete activity does not provide an exact count. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Subscriber-count change inherits YouTube’s rounding. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Channel audience

Official channel not established

Bluesky

Reviewed personal/campaign account established from first-party sources. The DID is the persistent identity; the handle may change. Official-account followers on Bluesky, not voters or a measure of support. Public-web visibility opt-outs are respected. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in Bluesky follower count. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Account audience

Official account not established

EVENTS

Published campaign events associated with this candidacy.

UPCOMING EVENTS

as of 24 Oct 2026
DEBATE

Débat présidentiel 7 — Gabriel Attal : École, intégration, autorité de l’État

Palais des Congrès · Saint-Raphaël

Les Rencontres de l’Avenir ↗
DEBATE

Débat présidentiel LCI–Restos du Cœur — Quelle société pour demain ?

LCI / Les Restos du Cœur

LCI / TF1 Info ↗
DEBATE

Grand Oral tourisme – Présidentielle 2027

Salon Berlioz — InterContinental Paris Le Grand · Paris

ADN Tourisme ↗

RECENT EVENTS

recent history
OTHER

Interventions de Gabriel Attal et Édouard Philippe au Congrès du Parti radical à Dijon

Parc des Expositions et Congrès · Dijon

Infos Dijon ↗
MEETING

Grand meeting régional de Gabriel Attal à Lyon

L'Amphithéâtre 3000 — Cité internationale · Lyon

Attal Président ↗
OTHER

Gabriel Attal dans « Vous avez la parole » sur LCI

LCI

TF1 Info ↗
DEBATE

Déjeuner-débat de Loire Connexion avec Gabriel Attal à Blois

Jeu de Paume · Blois

Loire Connexion ↗
DEBATE

Grand Oral Politique du Paris Builders Show

Paris Expo Porte de Versailles · Paris

Paris Builders Show ↗
DEBATE

Gabriel Attal invité de « Franc-jeu » sur France 2 et France Inter

France 2 / France Inter

CisanaTV ↗
OTHER

Réunion de crise à l’Élysée sur la situation internationale, la sécurité et l’énergie

Palais de l’Élysée · Paris

AFP ↗