FRANCE 2027 SIGNAL LABSource-linked signals from the French presidential race.
—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
Illustrated portrait of Natacha Polony
CANDIDATE DOSSIER

Natacha Polony

Descriptive summary of data published by France 2027 Signal Lab. No average · no forecast · no voting advice.
DECLARED CANDIDACYStatus verified as of 14 Oct 2026
POLLING DATA
NOT OBSERVED
no observation in the latest wave
MEDIA PULSE
3.7%
share of election + campaign coverage, not a measure of support
ARTICLES
9
articles · 4 active days
PUBLISHERS
4
in the current 7-day window

NEWS

Latest source-linked articles, events and changes.

LATEST NEWS

5 articles

EVENTS

2 upcoming · 2 recent
OTHER

Natacha Polony aux FFI Lorraine Nord — « Souveraineté, indépendance et renaissance industrielle »

CASTEL FEY · Féy

FFI Lorraine ↗
OTHER

Natacha Polony aux Rencontres Alumni Centrale Lyon

École Centrale de Lyon · Écully

France Industrie ↗
VISIT

Premier déplacement de campagne de Natacha Polony au Mondial de l’Automobile

Paris Expo Porte de Versailles · Paris

AFP via Boursorama ↗
DEBATE

Soirée de rentrée sur la souveraineté industrielle avec Natacha Polony

Théâtre Simone-Veil · Saint-Nazaire

Saint-Nazaire News ↗

WHAT CHANGED

4 items
JURIDIQUE

Présidentielle 2027 : "Bien sûr ! Évidemment"… Candidate à l’élection, l’essayiste Natacha Polony assure pouvoir réunir les 500 signatures

Midi Libre ↗
JURIDIQUE

"Des maires m'écrivent pour me parrainer": Natacha Polony confiante dans l'obtention des 500 signatures pour valider sa candidature à l'élection présidentielle

BFMTV — Politique ↗
CAMPAIGN

« Une véritable bouffée d’oxygène » : Jean-François Dauré, déçu par la gauche, soutient Natacha Polony pour la présidentielle

Charente Libre ↗
CAMPAIGN

"Je suis candidate à l'élection présidentielle", annonce l'éditorialiste Natacha Polony

Radio France ↗

POLLS

Published scores by hypothesis. No average, smoothing or interpolation.

LATEST WAVE

Not observed in the latest waveNo score is published for this candidacy in the latest reference wave. Published historical observations remain available when they exist.

FIRST-ROUND POLL HISTORY

Each mark represents a first-round poll observation grouped by pollster, fieldwork dates and sample size. A point shows the exact selected-hypothesis score when available. A vertical bar shows the published range across hypotheses. Horizontal position follows the fieldwork end date. No average, smoothing or interpolation.
2 observations

From 14 Oct 2026 to 19 Oct 2026. Enable JavaScript for the interactive visualization.

Published poll waves · 2
  1. Ifop · 17–19 Oct 2026
  2. Elabe · 14–16 Oct 2026

TESTED RUNOFFS

For each runoff, France 2027 Signal Lab shows at most the three most recent observations, ordered by fieldwork end date. Older observations remain in the source corpus. No average or interpolation is calculated.
0 opponents · 0 observations shown
No runoff observedNo runoff configuration associated with this candidacy is published in the monitored corpus.

MEDIA PULSE & COVERAGE

Visibility in monitored coverage: volume, publishers, composition and concentration.

MEDIA PULSE

Media Pulse measures the share of articles associated with Natacha Polony in the election and campaign scopes. It does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
last 7 published days
3.7%SHARE OF ELECTION + CAMPAIGN COVERAGE

Share of articles associated with Natacha Polony in the election and campaign scopes.

9articles
4publishers
9story clusters
4active days

RECENT COVERAGE TREND

Daily share of election + campaign articles associated with Natacha Polony. The series covers 29 complete UTC days and does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
29 complete days · UTC

Published history from 25 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026.

COVERAGE STRUCTURE

SCOPE

ELECTION100.0%
9 articles
CAMPAIGN0.0%
0 articles

MENTION PLACEMENT

In headline9
Summary only0

TOP PUBLISHER

BFMTV — Politique

TOP PUBLISHERS

4 publishers
  1. BFMTV — Politique6 articles · 66.7%
  2. Europe 11 article · 11.1%
  3. L'Indépendant1 article · 11.1%
  4. Le Canard enchaîné1 article · 11.1%

TOP STORY CLUSTERS

8 clusters
Parcoursup: "Je ne suis pas pour supprimer, mais réformer", explique Natacha Polony, candidate "Nous sommes la France" à l'élection présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
Présidentielle 2027 : "Elle représente cette gauche souverainiste"… Qui est ce jeune Catalan engagé dans la campagne pour Natacha Polony1 article · 1 publisher
Présidentielle 2027 : Natacha Polony candidate simplement car «elle aime son pays»1 article · 1 publisher
Présidentielle 2027 : Natacha Polony, candidature artificielle1 article · 1 publisher
Présidentielle 2027: "Je ne suis pas là pour nourrir le débat d'idées, je vais avoir les 500 parrainages", affirme Natacha Polony1 article · 1 publisher
Présidentielle: Natacha Polony candidate, sur les traces des figures de la société civile de 1848 à aujourd'hui1 article · 1 publisher
Violences du 17 octobre: "Nous avons assisté à un effondrement", estime Natacha Polony, candidate "Nous sommes la France" à l'élection présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
Violences du 17 octobre: "Nous devons rappeler à nos concitoyens que les forces de l'ordre sont là pour les protéger", clame Natacha Polony, candidate "Nous sommes la France" à l'élection présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher

LATEST COVERAGE

9 articles

AGENDA & ISSUES

Topics associated with this candidacy in monitored coverage. They describe the composition of media coverage, not the monitored person's priorities or positions.

TOPIC PROFILE · 30D

38 associations · 30 days
  • CANDIDACIES & ENDORSEMENTS97.4%
    CANDIDACIES & ENDORSEMENTSProfile share: 97.4%Associations: 37Period: last 30 days
  • RULES & CALENDAR2.6%
    RULES & CALENDARProfile share: 2.6%Associations: 1Period: last 30 days
  • LEGAL ELIGIBILITY0.0%
    LEGAL ELIGIBILITYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • PRIMARIES & PARTY STRATEGY0.0%
    PRIMARIES & PARTY STRATEGYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • POSITIONING & INTEGRITY0.0%
    POSITIONING & INTEGRITYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • POLLING & RACE NARRATIVES0.0%
    POLLING & RACE NARRATIVESProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days

TOPIC PROFILE · SINCE START

41 associations · 85 days · 2026-08-01 → 2026-10-24
  • CANDIDACIES & ENDORSEMENTS97.6%
    CANDIDACIES & ENDORSEMENTSProfile share: 97.6%Associations: 40Period: since tracking began
  • RULES & CALENDAR2.4%
    RULES & CALENDARProfile share: 2.4%Associations: 1Period: since tracking began
  • LEGAL ELIGIBILITY0.0%
    LEGAL ELIGIBILITYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • PRIMARIES & PARTY STRATEGY0.0%
    PRIMARIES & PARTY STRATEGYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • POSITIONING & INTEGRITY0.0%
    POSITIONING & INTEGRITYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • POLLING & RACE NARRATIVES0.0%
    POLLING & RACE NARRATIVESProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began

TOPIC EVOLUTION

Daily counts of topic associations, with no average, smoothing or interpolation.
2 main topics

Daily series from 1 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026.

SCRUTINY

Published reviews and the source confirming candidacy status.

CLAIMS UNDER SCRUTINY

0 reviews
BY — claim recorded as attributed to this candidacyABOUT — this candidacy is mentioned; the claim is attributed to another person
No associated reviewNo published review is associated with this candidacy in the monitored corpus.

The number of published reviews does not measure a political figure's overall accuracy.

CANDIDACY STATUS

DECLARED CANDIDACY
Status confirmed

Candidatures à l'élection présidentielle française de 2027

This source documents the candidacy status recorded by France 2027 Signal Lab.

Source
French Wikipedia
Source date
14 Oct 2026
Status verified as of
14 Oct 2026
Open source ↗

PUBLIC ATTENTION

Pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. This signal does not measure support.

WIKIPEDIA PAGEVIEWS

Wikipedia pageviews measure visits to the article. They do not measure support, sentiment, approval or voting intention.
pageviews
61,787last 7 days
282,173last 28 days
14,7797-day peak
129,376period peak
Open Wikipedia article ↗

PAGEVIEW HISTORY

Daily pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. Repeat visits may be included.
90 days

PUBLIC SIGNALS

These indicators come from independent sources and do not measure the same thing. They are neither a popularity score nor voting intention.

Polymarket

Election winner, including any runoff. Prediction market — not voting intention and not an FR27 forecast. Third-party value, not calculated by FR27. Participants are not a representative sample of French voters. Liquidity and trading conditions may influence prices. FR27 does not combine this signal with polling, Wikipedia, media, agenda or other evidence into a synthetic score. Absence does not mean 0%. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in percentage points. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Vertical scale spans at least 5 percentage points. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Prediction market

Unavailable

YouTube

Reviewed personal/campaign channel established from first-party sources and pinned to a stable channel ID. Official-channel subscribers, not electoral support. YouTube rounds subscriber counts down to three significant figures. Uploads use video publication times within the seven days before observation, including both boundaries, only when the full playlist is verified. Incomplete activity does not provide an exact count. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Subscriber-count change inherits YouTube’s rounding. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Channel audience

12,900

Subscribers

4 uploads in 7d

YouTube channel ↗

Bluesky

Reviewed personal/campaign account established from first-party sources. The DID is the persistent identity; the handle may change. Official-account followers on Bluesky, not voters or a measure of support. Public-web visibility opt-outs are respected. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in Bluesky follower count. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Account audience

Official account not established

EVENTS

Published campaign events associated with this candidacy.

UPCOMING EVENTS

as of 24 Oct 2026
OTHER

Natacha Polony aux FFI Lorraine Nord — « Souveraineté, indépendance et renaissance industrielle »

CASTEL FEY · Féy

FFI Lorraine ↗
OTHER

Natacha Polony aux Rencontres Alumni Centrale Lyon

École Centrale de Lyon · Écully

France Industrie ↗

RECENT EVENTS

recent history
VISIT

Premier déplacement de campagne de Natacha Polony au Mondial de l’Automobile

Paris Expo Porte de Versailles · Paris

AFP via Boursorama ↗
DEBATE

Soirée de rentrée sur la souveraineté industrielle avec Natacha Polony

Théâtre Simone-Veil · Saint-Nazaire

Saint-Nazaire News ↗