FRANCE 2027 SIGNAL LABSource-linked signals from the French presidential race.
—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
Illustrated portrait of Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
CANDIDATE DOSSIER

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Descriptive summary of data published by France 2027 Signal Lab. No average · no forecast · no voting advice.
DECLARED CANDIDACYStatus verified as of 30 Jul 2026
POLLING DATA
1,5–2% · 4 hypotheses
Ipsos · fieldwork from 21 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026
MEDIA PULSE
4.1%
share of election + campaign coverage, not a measure of support
ARTICLES
10
articles · 2 active days
PUBLISHERS
2
in the current 7-day window

NEWS

Latest source-linked articles, events and changes.

LATEST NEWS

5 articles

EVENTS

2 upcoming · 3 recent
VISIT

Rencontres et dédicaces de Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Saintes

Le Malakoff · Saintes

Debout la France ↗
VISIT

Journée hommage au général de Gaulle avec Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Colombey-les-Deux-Églises

Place de l’Église · Colombey-les-Deux-Églises

Debout la France ↗
VISIT

Rencontres et dédicaces de Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Angoulême

Angoulême

Debout la France ↗
VISIT

Déplacement de Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Saint-Étienne

Bistrot-Brasserie Le Glasgow · Saint-Étienne

Debout la France ↗
VISIT

Déplacement de Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Valence

Brasserie L’Étage · Valence

Debout La France ↗

WHAT CHANGED

1 items
JURIDIQUE

"C'est toujours dur" : Nicolas Dupont-Aignan sur la difficulté d'obtenir les 500 signatures pour la présidentielle

TF1 Info ↗

POLLS

Published scores by hypothesis. No average, smoothing or interpolation.

LATEST WAVE

1,5–2%4 hypotheses

Range of published scores for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan across the hypotheses tested in the latest wave. France 2027 Signal Lab does not calculate an average.

Pollster
Ipsos
Sample
1,500
Fieldwork
21 Oct 2026 — 22 Oct 2026
View poll source ↗

FIRST-ROUND POLL HISTORY

Each mark represents a first-round poll observation grouped by pollster, fieldwork dates and sample size. A point shows the exact selected-hypothesis score when available. A vertical bar shows the published range across hypotheses. Horizontal position follows the fieldwork end date. No average, smoothing or interpolation.
68 observations

From 25 Oct 2022 to 22 Oct 2026. Enable JavaScript for the interactive visualization.

Published poll waves · 68
  1. Ipsos · 21–22 Oct 2026
  2. Harris · 19–21 Oct 2026
  3. Ifop · 17–19 Oct 2026
  4. Elabe · 14–16 Oct 2026
  5. Elabe · 14–16 Oct 2026
  6. Cluster17 · 14–15 Oct 2026
  7. YouGov · 12–15 Oct 2026
  8. OpinionWay · 13–14 Oct 2026
  9. Ifop · 12–14 Oct 2026
  10. Harris · 5–8 Oct 2026
  11. Odoxa · 24 Sep–7 Oct 2026
  12. Ifop · 25–29 Sep 2026
  13. Harris · 22–24 Sep 2026
  14. YouGov · 17–21 Sep 2026
  15. Cluster17 · 15–16 Sep 2026
  16. Ifop · 9–11 Sep 2026
  17. OpinionWay · 9–10 Sep 2026
  18. Harris · 8–10 Sep 2026
  19. OpinionWay · 8–9 Sep 2026
  20. Ipsos · 3–9 Sep 2026
  21. Ipsos · 31 Aug–2 Sep 2026
  22. Cluster17 · 31 Aug–1 Sep 2026
  23. Elabe · 26–28 Aug 2026
  24. Ifop · 24–25 Aug 2026
  25. Harris Interactive · 18–19 Aug 2026
  26. Cluster17 · 22–24 Jul 2026
  27. Elabe · 9–10 Jul 2026
  28. Ifop · 7–8 Jul 2026
  29. Harris Interactive · 7–8 Jul 2026
  30. Harris Interactive · 7–8 Jul 2026
  31. Ifop · 22–24 Jun 2026
  32. OpinionWay · 10–11 Jun 2026
  33. Ipsos · 27–28 May 2026
  34. Ifop · 26–28 May 2026
  35. Harris Interactive · 25–27 May 2026
  36. Harris Interactive · 28–30 Apr 2026
  37. Harris Interactive · 22 Apr 2026
  38. Elabe · 25–27 Mar 2026
  39. Harris Interactive · 22 Mar 2026
  40. Ifop · 26–27 Feb 2026
  41. Elabe · 30–31 Oct 2025
  42. Elabe · 30–31 Oct 2025
  43. Harris Interactive · 7 Oct 2025
  44. Cluster17 · 30 Sep–1 Oct 2025
  45. Cluster17 · 30 Sep–1 Oct 2025
  46. Ifop · 24–25 Sep 2025
  47. Ifop · 19–20 May 2025
  48. Ifop · 29–30 Apr 2025
  49. Odoxa · 23–24 Apr 2025
  50. Ifop/Hexagone · 11–18 Apr 2025
  51. Elabe · 2–4 Apr 2025
  52. Ifop · 26–27 Mar 2025
  53. Ifop · 6–9 Dec 2024
  54. Ifop · 6–9 Sep 2024
  55. Harris Interactive · 7–8 Jul 2024
  56. Ifop · 16–18 Apr 2024
  57. Cluster17 · 2–5 Apr 2024
  58. Ifop · 31 Jan–1 Feb 2024
  59. Ifop · 9–10 Jan 2024
  60. Ifop · 24–25 Oct 2023
  61. Cluster17 · 18–20 Oct 2023
  62. Harris Interactive · 1–4 Sep 2023
  63. Harris Interactive · 6–7 Apr 2023
  64. Odoxa · 5–6 Apr 2023
  65. Elabe · 3–5 Apr 2023
  66. Ifop · 30–31 Mar 2023
  67. Cluster17 · 4–6 Nov 2022
  68. Ifop · 25–26 Oct 2022

TESTED RUNOFFS

For each runoff, France 2027 Signal Lab shows at most the three most recent observations, ordered by fieldwork end date. Older observations remain in the source corpus. No average or interpolation is calculated.
0 opponents · 0 observations shown
No runoff observedNo runoff configuration associated with this candidacy is published in the monitored corpus.

MEDIA PULSE & COVERAGE

Visibility in monitored coverage: volume, publishers, composition and concentration.

MEDIA PULSE

Media Pulse measures the share of articles associated with Nicolas Dupont-Aignan in the election and campaign scopes. It does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
last 7 published days
4.1%SHARE OF ELECTION + CAMPAIGN COVERAGE

Share of articles associated with Nicolas Dupont-Aignan in the election and campaign scopes.

10articles
2publishers
10story clusters
2active days

RECENT COVERAGE TREND

Daily share of election + campaign articles associated with Nicolas Dupont-Aignan. The series covers 29 complete UTC days and does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
29 complete days · UTC

Published history from 25 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026.

COVERAGE STRUCTURE

SCOPE

ELECTION100.0%
10 articles
CAMPAIGN0.0%
0 articles

MENTION PLACEMENT

In headline10
Summary only0

TOP PUBLISHER

BFMTV — Politique

TOP PUBLISHERS

2 publishers
  1. BFMTV — Politique9 articles · 90.0%
  2. TF1 Info1 article · 10.0%

TOP STORY CLUSTERS

8 clusters
"C'est toujours dur" : Nicolas Dupont-Aignan sur la difficulté d'obtenir les 500 signatures pour la présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
"L'interdiction des manifestations est stupide", affirme Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, candidat Debout la France à l'élection présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
"Ça fait dix ans que la seule politique menée est celle du mépris", déclare Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, président de Debout la France et candidat à l'élection présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
Enseignement: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, candidat Debout la France à l'élection présidentielle, estime que la France a abandonné le "système méritocratique de la IIIe République"1 article · 1 publisher
Manifestation du 24 octobre: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, candidat Debout la France à l'élection présidentielle, appelle à être "intraitable vis-à-vis des fauteurs de trouble"1 article · 1 publisher
Mouvements sociaux: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, candidat “Debout La France” à l'élection présidentielle, veut “interdire les groupes d’ultragauche dangereux”1 article · 1 publisher
Mouvements sociaux: “Il n’y a plus un Français qui écoute monsieur Darmanin, monsieur Macron et les autres”, affirme Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, candidat Debout La France à l'élection présidentielle1 article · 1 publisher
Parcoursup: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, président de Debout la France et candidat à l'élection présidentielle, dénonce une "injustice incroyable" liée "au contrôle continu"1 article · 1 publisher

LATEST COVERAGE

10 articles

AGENDA & ISSUES

Topics associated with this candidacy in monitored coverage. They describe the composition of media coverage, not the monitored person's priorities or positions.

TOPIC PROFILE · 30D

1 association · 30 days
  • RULES & CALENDAR100.0%
    RULES & CALENDARProfile share: 100.0%Associations: 1Period: last 30 days
  • LEGAL ELIGIBILITY0.0%
    LEGAL ELIGIBILITYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • PRIMARIES & PARTY STRATEGY0.0%
    PRIMARIES & PARTY STRATEGYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • CANDIDACIES & ENDORSEMENTS0.0%
    CANDIDACIES & ENDORSEMENTSProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • POSITIONING & INTEGRITY0.0%
    POSITIONING & INTEGRITYProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • POLLING & RACE NARRATIVES0.0%
    POLLING & RACE NARRATIVESProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days

TOPIC PROFILE · SINCE START

9 associations · 86 days · 2026-07-31 → 2026-10-24
  • Europe, defence and foreign affairs55.6%
    Europe, defence and foreign affairsProfile share: 55.6%Associations: 5Period: since tracking began
  • Work, purchasing power and pensions22.2%
    Work, purchasing power and pensionsProfile share: 22.2%Associations: 2Period: since tracking began
  • Economy and public finances11.1%
    Economy and public financesProfile share: 11.1%Associations: 1Period: since tracking began
  • Climate, energy and agriculture11.1%
    Climate, energy and agricultureProfile share: 11.1%Associations: 1Period: since tracking began
  • Immigration, identity and secularism0.0%
    Immigration, identity and secularismProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • Security and justice0.0%
    Security and justiceProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • Health, education and public services0.0%
    Health, education and public servicesProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • Institutions, democracy and territories0.0%
    Institutions, democracy and territoriesProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began

TOPIC EVOLUTION

Daily counts of topic associations, with no average, smoothing or interpolation.
4 main topics

Daily series from 31 Jul 2026 to 24 Oct 2026.

SCRUTINY

Published reviews and the source confirming candidacy status.

CLAIMS UNDER SCRUTINY

0 reviews
BY — claim recorded as attributed to this candidacyABOUT — this candidacy is mentioned; the claim is attributed to another person
No associated reviewNo published review is associated with this candidacy in the monitored corpus.

The number of published reviews does not measure a political figure's overall accuracy.

CANDIDACY STATUS

DECLARED CANDIDACY
Status confirmed

Vœux à la presse de Nicolas Dupont-Aignan — mercredi 14 janvier 2026

This source documents the candidacy status recorded by France 2027 Signal Lab.

Source
Debout la France
Source date
14 Jan 2026
Status verified as of
30 Jul 2026
Open source ↗

PUBLIC ATTENTION

Pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. This signal does not measure support.

WIKIPEDIA PAGEVIEWS

Wikipedia pageviews measure visits to the article. They do not measure support, sentiment, approval or voting intention.
pageviews
9,788last 7 days
28,001last 28 days
2,4337-day peak
3,132period peak
Open Wikipedia article ↗

PAGEVIEW HISTORY

Daily pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. Repeat visits may be included.
90 days

PUBLIC SIGNALS

These indicators come from independent sources and do not measure the same thing. They are neither a popularity score nor voting intention.

Polymarket

Election winner, including any runoff. Prediction market — not voting intention and not an FR27 forecast. Third-party value, not calculated by FR27. Participants are not a representative sample of French voters. Liquidity and trading conditions may influence prices. FR27 does not combine this signal with polling, Wikipedia, media, agenda or other evidence into a synthetic score. Absence does not mean 0%. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in percentage points. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Vertical scale spans at least 5 percentage points. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Prediction market

0.1%

Implied probability

Polymarket ↗

YouTube

Reviewed personal/campaign channel established from first-party sources and pinned to a stable channel ID. Official-channel subscribers, not electoral support. YouTube rounds subscriber counts down to three significant figures. Uploads use video publication times within the seven days before observation, including both boundaries, only when the full playlist is verified. Incomplete activity does not provide an exact count. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Subscriber-count change inherits YouTube’s rounding. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Channel audience

233,000

Subscribers

Recent activity incomplete

YouTube channel ↗

Bluesky

Reviewed personal/campaign account established from first-party sources. The DID is the persistent identity; the handle may change. Official-account followers on Bluesky, not voters or a measure of support. Public-web visibility opt-outs are respected. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in Bluesky follower count. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Account audience

Official account not established

EVENTS

Published campaign events associated with this candidacy.

UPCOMING EVENTS

as of 24 Oct 2026
VISIT

Rencontres et dédicaces de Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Saintes

Le Malakoff · Saintes

Debout la France ↗
VISIT

Journée hommage au général de Gaulle avec Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Colombey-les-Deux-Églises

Place de l’Église · Colombey-les-Deux-Églises

Debout la France ↗

RECENT EVENTS

recent history
VISIT

Rencontres et dédicaces de Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Angoulême

Angoulême

Debout la France ↗
VISIT

Déplacement de Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Saint-Étienne

Bistrot-Brasserie Le Glasgow · Saint-Étienne

Debout la France ↗
VISIT

Déplacement de Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Valence

Brasserie L’Étage · Valence

Debout La France ↗
VISIT

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan au Salon SME

Palais des Congrès de Paris · Paris

Debout La France ↗
VISIT

Rencontre-café avec Nicolas Dupont-Aignan à Clermont-Ferrand

Restaurant Les Commerçants · Clermont-Ferrand

Debout La France ↗
VISIT

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan au Sommet de l’élevage

Grande Halle d’Auvergne · Cournon-d’Auvergne

Debout La France ↗