—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
Odoxa
Published results from Odoxa for fieldwork conducted from 25 March 2026 to 26 March 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
Odoxa
FIELDWORK
25–26 March 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,005
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
10
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Roussel · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS12 %–13 % · Δ 1 pts
Raphaël Glucksmann · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS10 %–10 % · Δ 0 pts
Tondelier · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS4 %–5 % · Δ 1 pts
Philippe · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS21 %–25 % · Δ 4 pts
Dupont-Aignan · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS2 %–2 % · Δ 0 pts
Bardella · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS34 %–38 % · Δ 4 pts
Knafo · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS5 %–5 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Knafo
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Knafo
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 2 % |
| Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Tondelier | 4 % |
| Philippe | 25 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 38 % |
| Knafo | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 1170aa1b0093a8a1a7786f8c5ca6278a7e2782142f4b603c13054231f3edfe92PUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Knafo
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Tondelier, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Bardella, Knafo
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Roussel | 2 % |
| Mélenchon | 12 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 10 % |
| Tondelier | 5 % |
| Philippe | 21 % |
| Retailleau | 8 % |
| Dupont-Aignan | 2 % |
| Bardella | 34 % |
| Knafo | 5 % |
EVENT ID: e1aef033c6d431d9a0647acde7fb397780344ad73f7fd8f29fc83ee1a497656bPUBLISHED TOTAL: 100 %SOURCE ↗