—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
FIRST-ROUND POLL WAVE
OpinionWay
Published results from OpinionWay for fieldwork conducted from 26 March 2026 to 27 March 2026. Scenarios are kept separate to preserve the exact composition of the ballots tested.
POLLSTER
OpinionWay
FIELDWORK
26–27 March 2026
SAMPLE
n=1,009
SCENARIOS
2
CANDIDATES TESTED
9
NO POLLING AVERAGESNO FORECASTNO VOTING ADVICE
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTSVARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
OPEN
SAME POLL · DIFFERENT BALLOTS
VARIATION ACROSS PUBLISHED SCENARIOS
Arthaud · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS1 %–1 % · Δ 0 pts
Mélenchon · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS13 %–14 % · Δ 1 pts
Retailleau · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS11 %–14 % · Δ 3 pts
Bardella · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS38 %–38 % · Δ 0 pts
Knafo · TESTED IN 2 SCENARIOS5 %–5 % · Δ 0 pts
PUBLISHED RESULTS
WAVE SCENARIOS
2 SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Attal, Retailleau, Bardella, Knafo
SCENARIO 1COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, Attal, Retailleau, Bardella, Knafo
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Mélenchon | 13 % |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 15 % |
| Attal | 15 % |
| Retailleau | 14 % |
| Bardella | 38 % |
| Knafo | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 3930fe663c6a9c133ebd1092afcfe0cc0dc9185041e452e2bed527f6f0c2f5b7PUBLISHED TOTAL: 101 %SOURCE ↗
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIOFIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Mélenchon, Hollande, Philippe, Retailleau, Bardella, Knafo
SCENARIO 2COMPLETE SCENARIO
FIRST ROUND — Arthaud, Mélenchon, Hollande, Philippe, Retailleau, Bardella, Knafo
| CANDIDATE | PUBLISHED SCORE |
|---|---|
| Arthaud | 1 % |
| Mélenchon | 14 % |
| Hollande | 12 % |
| Philippe | 18 % |
| Retailleau | 11 % |
| Bardella | 38 % |
| Knafo | 5 % |
EVENT ID: 8a722065bc1fa02cd367e02c6e8f45e14e3920836801d67768011d845910c5a2PUBLISHED TOTAL: 99 %SOURCE ↗