FRANCE 2027 SIGNAL LABSource-linked signals from the French presidential race.
—
daysbefore the first round
18 Apr 2027
Illustrated portrait of Dominique de Villepin
CANDIDATE DOSSIER

Dominique de Villepin

Descriptive summary of data published by France 2027 Signal Lab. No average · no forecast · no voting advice.
POTENTIAL CANDIDACYStatus verified as of 30 Jul 2026
POLLING DATA
NOT OBSERVED
no observation in the latest wave
MEDIA PULSE
2.9%
share of election + campaign coverage, not a measure of support
ARTICLES
7
articles · 3 active days
PUBLISHERS
4
in the current 7-day window

NEWS

Latest source-linked articles, events and changes.

LATEST NEWS

5 articles

EVENTS

2 récents
DEBATE

« Le grand débat IA de la Présidentielle » à l'AIM Marseille

CEPAC Vélodrome · Marseille

NewsTélé ↗
DEBATE

Débat Libé 2027 entre François Ruffin et Dominique de Villepin

Académie du Climat · Paris

Libération ↗

WHAT CHANGED

0 items

POLLS

Published scores by hypothesis. No average, smoothing or interpolation.

LATEST WAVE

Not observed in the latest waveNo score is published for this candidacy in the latest reference wave. Published historical observations remain available when they exist.

FIRST-ROUND POLL HISTORY

Each mark represents a first-round poll observation grouped by pollster, fieldwork dates and sample size. A point shows the exact selected-hypothesis score when available. A vertical bar shows the published range across hypotheses. Horizontal position follows the fieldwork end date. No average, smoothing or interpolation.
18 observations

From 2 Apr 2025 to 21 Oct 2026. Enable JavaScript for the interactive visualization.

Published poll waves · 18
  1. Harris · 19–21 Oct 2026
  2. Ifop · 17–19 Oct 2026
  3. Elabe · 14–16 Oct 2026
  4. YouGov · 12–15 Oct 2026
  5. Ifop · 12–14 Oct 2026
  6. Ifop · 25–29 Sep 2026
  7. YouGov · 17–21 Sep 2026
  8. Cluster17 · 31 Aug–1 Sep 2026
  9. Elabe · 26–28 Aug 2026
  10. Cluster17 · 22–24 Jul 2026
  11. Elabe · 9–10 Jul 2026
  12. Ifop · 26–28 May 2026
  13. Elabe · 25–27 Mar 2026
  14. Ifop · 26–27 Feb 2026
  15. Elabe · 30–31 Oct 2025
  16. Elabe · 30–31 Oct 2025
  17. Ifop · 24–25 Sep 2025
  18. Elabe · 2–4 Apr 2025

TESTED RUNOFFS

For each runoff, France 2027 Signal Lab shows at most the three most recent observations, ordered by fieldwork end date. Older observations remain in the source corpus. No average or interpolation is calculated.
0 opponents · 0 observations shown
No runoff observedNo runoff configuration associated with this candidacy is published in the monitored corpus.

MEDIA PULSE & COVERAGE

Visibility in monitored coverage: volume, publishers, composition and concentration.

MEDIA PULSE

Media Pulse measures the share of articles associated with Dominique de Villepin in the election and campaign scopes. It does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
last 7 published days
2.9%SHARE OF ELECTION + CAMPAIGN COVERAGE

Share of articles associated with Dominique de Villepin in the election and campaign scopes.

7articles
4publishers
6story clusters
3active days

RECENT COVERAGE TREND

Daily share of election + campaign articles associated with Dominique de Villepin. The series covers 29 complete UTC days and does not measure support, approval, sentiment or voting intention.
29 complete days · UTC

Published history from 25 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026.

COVERAGE STRUCTURE

SCOPE

ELECTION71.4%
5 articles
CAMPAIGN28.6%
2 articles

MENTION PLACEMENT

In headline7
Summary only0

TOP PUBLISHER

BFMTV — Politique

TOP PUBLISHERS

4 publishers
  1. BFMTV — Politique4 articles · 57.1%
  2. CNEWS1 article · 14.3%
  3. LCP — Actualités1 article · 14.3%
  4. Le Parisien1 article · 14.3%

TOP STORY CLUSTERS

6 clusters
Présidentielle 2027 : Dominique de Villepin appelle les candidats à se réunir via « une plate-forme commune anticrise2 articles · 2 publishers
Pour Dominique de Villepin, ancien Premier ministre, interdire les manifestations du 24 octobre revient à "ligoter toutes formes d'expression"1 article · 1 publisher
Présidentielle 2027 : face au risque d'une «guerre civile», Dominique de Villepin appelle tous les candidats à se réunir1 article · 1 publisher
Présidentielle 2027: "Nous avons dépassé les 300 signatures", annonce Dominique de Villepin, ancien Premier ministre1 article · 1 publisher
Présidentielle: Dominique de Villepin annonce avoir "dépassé la barre des 300 signatures"1 article · 1 publisher
Violences du 17 octobre, mouvement lycéen, candidature en 2027... Ce qu’il faut retenir de l’interview de Dominique de Villepin sur BFMTV1 article · 1 publisher

LATEST COVERAGE

7 articles

AGENDA & ISSUES

Topics associated with this candidacy in monitored coverage. They describe the composition of media coverage, not the monitored person's priorities or positions.

TOPIC PROFILE · 30D

5 associations · 30 days
  • Institutions, democracy and territories60.0%
    Institutions, democracy and territoriesProfile share: 60.0%Associations: 3Period: last 30 days
  • Economy and public finances20.0%
    Economy and public financesProfile share: 20.0%Associations: 1Period: last 30 days
  • Health, education and public services20.0%
    Health, education and public servicesProfile share: 20.0%Associations: 1Period: last 30 days
  • Work, purchasing power and pensions0.0%
    Work, purchasing power and pensionsProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • Immigration, identity and secularism0.0%
    Immigration, identity and secularismProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • Security and justice0.0%
    Security and justiceProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • Climate, energy and agriculture0.0%
    Climate, energy and agricultureProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days
  • Europe, defence and foreign affairs0.0%
    Europe, defence and foreign affairsProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: last 30 days

TOPIC PROFILE · SINCE START

9 associations · 86 days · 2026-07-31 → 2026-10-24
  • Institutions, democracy and territories33.3%
    Institutions, democracy and territoriesProfile share: 33.3%Associations: 3Period: since tracking began
  • Economy and public finances22.2%
    Economy and public financesProfile share: 22.2%Associations: 2Period: since tracking began
  • Immigration, identity and secularism22.2%
    Immigration, identity and secularismProfile share: 22.2%Associations: 2Period: since tracking began
  • Work, purchasing power and pensions11.1%
    Work, purchasing power and pensionsProfile share: 11.1%Associations: 1Period: since tracking began
  • Health, education and public services11.1%
    Health, education and public servicesProfile share: 11.1%Associations: 1Period: since tracking began
  • Security and justice0.0%
    Security and justiceProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • Climate, energy and agriculture0.0%
    Climate, energy and agricultureProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began
  • Europe, defence and foreign affairs0.0%
    Europe, defence and foreign affairsProfile share: 0.0%Associations: 0Period: since tracking began

TOPIC EVOLUTION

Daily counts of topic associations, with no average, smoothing or interpolation.
4 main topics

Daily series from 31 Jul 2026 to 24 Oct 2026.

SCRUTINY

Published reviews and the source confirming candidacy status.

CLAIMS UNDER SCRUTINY

0 reviews
BY — claim recorded as attributed to this candidacyABOUT — this candidacy is mentioned; the claim is attributed to another person
No associated reviewNo published review is associated with this candidacy in the monitored corpus.

The number of published reviews does not measure a political figure's overall accuracy.

CANDIDACY STATUS

POTENTIAL CANDIDACY
Status confirmed

Présidentielle 2027 : Dominique de Villepin, candidat à demi-mot, mène déjà campagne à La Rochelle

This source documents the candidacy status recorded by France 2027 Signal Lab.

Source
Le Monde
Source date
29 May 2026
Status verified as of
30 Jul 2026
Open source ↗

PUBLIC ATTENTION

Pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. This signal does not measure support.

WIKIPEDIA PAGEVIEWS

Wikipedia pageviews measure visits to the article. They do not measure support, sentiment, approval or voting intention.
pageviews
53,138last 7 days
99,814last 28 days
25,6777-day peak
25,677period peak
Open Wikipedia article ↗

PAGEVIEW HISTORY

Daily pageviews of the French-language Wikipedia article. Repeat visits may be included.
90 days

PUBLIC SIGNALS

These indicators come from independent sources and do not measure the same thing. They are neither a popularity score nor voting intention.

Polymarket

Election winner, including any runoff. Prediction market — not voting intention and not an FR27 forecast. Third-party value, not calculated by FR27. Participants are not a representative sample of French voters. Liquidity and trading conditions may influence prices. FR27 does not combine this signal with polling, Wikipedia, media, agenda or other evidence into a synthetic score. Absence does not mean 0%. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in percentage points. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Vertical scale spans at least 5 percentage points. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Prediction market

0.5%

Implied probability

Polymarket ↗

YouTube

Reviewed personal/campaign channel established from first-party sources and pinned to a stable channel ID. Official-channel subscribers, not electoral support. YouTube rounds subscriber counts down to three significant figures. Uploads use video publication times within the seven days before observation, including both boundaries, only when the full playlist is verified. Incomplete activity does not provide an exact count. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Subscriber-count change inherits YouTube’s rounding. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Channel audience

51,800

Subscribers

4 uploads in 7d

YouTube channel ↗

Bluesky

Reviewed personal/campaign account established from first-party sources. The DID is the persistent identity; the handle may change. Official-account followers on Bluesky, not voters or a measure of support. Public-web visibility opt-outs are respected. Change compares the current value with the latest valid observation at or before seven days earlier. Insufficient history produces no change or chart. Change in Bluesky follower count. Up to 30 days of actual time-spaced observations; missing UTC dates break the line, short runs use dots, the current value is ringed. Sparse coverage hides the chart, not the change. Each chart has its own scale: shapes cannot be compared across platforms.

FR27 observation : . Check freshness (48h)

Account audience

Official account not established

EVENTS

Published campaign events associated with this candidacy.

UPCOMING EVENTS

as of 24 Oct 2026
No verified upcoming eventsEvents will appear here when an eligible source is published.

RECENT EVENTS

recent history
DEBATE

« Le grand débat IA de la Présidentielle » à l'AIM Marseille

CEPAC Vélodrome · Marseille

NewsTélé ↗
DEBATE

Débat Libé 2027 entre François Ruffin et Dominique de Villepin

Académie du Climat · Paris

Libération ↗